Update shared on 22 Nov 2025
Fair value Increased 2.04%Narrative Update on OC Oerlikon
Analysts slightly raised their fair value estimate for OC Oerlikon to CHF 3.33 from CHF 3.27, citing recent research that highlighted increased caution because of weaker revenue growth and profit margins.
Analyst Commentary
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts note that the recent fair value estimate increase indicates underlying resilience in the company’s valuation, even amidst operational challenges.
- Some highlight that strategic initiatives and ongoing efficiency improvements could enhance profitability over the medium term.
- Opportunities for market share gains in niche technology segments are seen as supportive for future revenue growth.
- OC Oerlikon’s continued focus on cost control is expected to help protect margins in a competitive environment.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts remain concerned about the soft revenue outlook and compressed profit margins, which have prompted some to lower their recommendations.
- Reduced fair value estimates and lower price targets reflect uncertainty around the company’s near-term execution and demand visibility.
- Persistent macroeconomic headwinds and sector-specific pressures are likely to challenge growth ambitions.
- Cautious researchers emphasize limited signs of immediate improvement and highlight a need for stronger operating leverage to justify higher valuations.
What's in the News
- Marco Freidl has been appointed as Chief Financial Officer of OC Oerlikon, effective November 2025. He will succeed Markus Richter (Key Developments).
- Freidl is currently Oerlikon’s Head of Group Strategy, Business Development and M&A, and has been with the company since 2018 (Key Developments).
- Before joining Oerlikon, Marco Freidl held senior roles at UBS focused on Equity Capital Markets and M&A advisory (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly, moving from CHF 3.27 to CHF 3.33.
- Discount Rate increased marginally, up from 8.87% to 8.91%.
- Revenue Growth outlook declined, with estimates falling from negative 9.76 percent to negative 10.24 percent.
- Net Profit Margin has fallen significantly, down from 7.54 percent to 5.00 percent.
- Future P/E Ratio climbed sharply, from 12.1 times to 18.9 times.
Disclaimer
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