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GEBN: Margin Sustainability Concerns Will Limit Gains Amid Sector Headwinds

Update shared on 05 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 2.46%
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Geberit's analyst price target has been lifted from CHF 547.29 to CHF 560.75 as analysts cite slightly improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations as justification for the upward revision.

Analyst Commentary

Recent Street research on Geberit reflects a mix of optimism and caution among analysts, with price targets moving higher in response to earnings and market dynamics. The following summarizes key bullish and bearish perspectives based on the latest updates from market watchers.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Bullish analysts have raised their price targets, citing moderate improvements in expected revenue growth and operating margins.
  • Upward revisions reflect steady execution and resilience in Geberit's business model, despite market uncertainties.
  • Neutral analyst stances at higher price targets suggest some confidence in Geberit’s ability to maintain a stable performance in the medium term.
  • The gradual increases in targets support the view that Geberit is positioned to benefit from ongoing sector demand.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Bears remain cautious and maintain more conservative ratings even as targets rise, questioning the sustainability of recent improvements.
  • Concerns linger regarding the pace of margin expansion, with some analysts viewing recent growth as incremental rather than transformational.
  • The downgrade from Buy to Hold by one firm highlights apprehension about valuation at current levels, especially given higher price targets.
  • Some see potential headwinds in the broader construction or materials sector that may cap further upside for Geberit shares in the near term.

What's in the News

  • Morgan Stanley raised Geberit's price target to CHF 500 from CHF 496 and maintained an Underweight rating (Morgan Stanley).
  • Kepler Cheuvreux downgraded Geberit to Hold from Buy and set a CHF 635 price target (Kepler Cheuvreux).
  • Geberit provided earnings guidance for the full year 2025, expecting net sales growth in local currencies of around 4.5 percent and reported October net sales above the previous year's level (Company Guidance).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from CHF 547.29 to CHF 560.75.
  • Discount Rate increased modestly from 5.11 percent to 5.21 percent.
  • Revenue Growth expectation edged up marginally, moving from 4.51 percent to 4.54 percent.
  • Net Profit Margin forecast improved slightly from 20.44 percent to 20.46 percent.
  • Future P/E ratio estimate increased from 28.00x to 28.72x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.