Update shared on08 Oct 2025
Fair value Increased 13%Analysts have revised i-80 Gold's price target downward from C$3.50 to C$3.25, citing updated valuation models and adjusted growth expectations.
Analyst Commentary
Bullish Takeaways
- Bullish analysts continue to see notable long-term growth potential for i-80 Gold, reflecting confidence in the company's resource base and expansion strategy.
- The Speculative Buy rating has been maintained, which signifies ongoing optimism regarding the stock's risk-reward profile despite recent adjustments.
- Revised valuation models account for updated growth expectations. Analysts point to management's consistent execution in advancing strategic initiatives.
- Ongoing project development and exploration activities are viewed as key drivers that could enhance future value, supporting a positive outlook on share performance over time.
Bearish Takeaways
- Bearish analysts highlight that reduced price targets reflect heightened caution about near-term execution risks.
- Concerns exist about the pace of resource development, which could potentially impact near-term growth projections.
- Valuation has been tempered to better reflect shifting market conditions and the evolving operating environment for gold producers.
- There are reservations about meeting previous growth forecasts given current sector headwinds and potential delays in project milestones.
What's in the News
- Initial high-grade assay results announced for Granite Creek Underground Project. The feasibility study is targeted for completion in Q1 2026. Infill drilling activities are advancing at the Cove Underground Project in Nevada (Key Developments).
- Construction has commenced at the Archimedes project after obtaining all necessary permits. Production contribution is expected in Q4 2026, and a phased development plan aims for annual gold output of 600,000 ounces in the early 2030s (Key Developments).
- New production guidance for 2025 released, projecting total output between 30,000 and 40,000 ounces (Key Developments).
- Operating results for the second quarter of 2025 reported, with 8,400 ounces of gold sold, up from 3,445 ounces year-over-year. The six-month total rose to 13,352 ounces from 7,506 ounces (Key Developments).
- Development plans continue to progress for key Nevada projects including Granite Creek, Archimedes, Lone Tree, Cove, and Mineral Point. Feasibility studies and permitting are underway across multiple assets (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate has increased from CA$2.17 to CA$2.45, reflecting a modest upward revision.
- Discount Rate has risen slightly from 7.35 percent to 7.48 percent. This signals a marginally higher risk assessment in the updated model.
- Revenue Growth expectations have moved up from 72.4 percent to 74.1 percent. This indicates a more optimistic outlook for top-line expansion.
- Net Profit Margin forecast has improved from 17.3 percent to 19.3 percent, highlighting expectations for stronger profitability.
- Future P/E Ratio has declined from 28.6x to 27.9x. This suggests shares are now valued at a slightly lower multiple on projected earnings.
Disclaimer
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