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Update shared on08 Oct 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.50%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
CA$326.69
17.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
08 Oct
CA$269.60
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1Y
2.1%
7D
0.8%

Intact Financial's analyst price target saw a slight decrease of C$1.64. Analysts cited modest adjustments to fair value estimates and ongoing sector headwinds as the rationale behind the revision.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have raised their price targets for Intact Financial, reflecting continued confidence in the company’s execution and growth strategy.
  • Recent upward revisions are supported by strong performance in core operations and positive outlooks for underwriting results.
  • Upward price target adjustments indicate ongoing resilience in Intact’s business model and an expectation of market share gains within its segment.
  • Optimism centers on the company's ability to capitalize on stable or improving trends across commercial and personal lines.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts have slightly reduced their price targets in response to sector headwinds and modest adjustments in estimated fair value.
  • Concerns continue regarding a slowdown in commercial property pricing and heightened competition, which could weigh on premium growth.
  • Some analysts highlight softened reinsurance pricing and potential margin pressure as challenges to near-term performance.
  • Ongoing industry dynamics, such as cautious sentiment in commercial lines, have contributed to more reserved valuation outlooks.

What's in the News

  • Intact Financial conducted a buyback tranche update and reported that from April 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025, the company repurchased 0 shares totaling CAD 0 million. This concludes the repurchase of 0 shares for CAD 0 million under the previously announced buyback program (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has decreased modestly from CA$328.33 to CA$326.69.
  • Discount Rate remains unchanged at 5.97%.
  • Revenue Growth projection is virtually flat at approximately -6.99%.
  • Net Profit Margin has seen no material change and remains at about 12.59%.
  • Future P/E ratio has declined slightly from 23.27x to 23.16x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.