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UMI: Rising Profit Outlook And Lower Risk Are Expected To Drive Upside

Update shared on 14 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 16%
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AnalystHighTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
76.0%
7D
6.4%

Analysts have raised their price target for Umicore from €19.42 to €22.59, reflecting adjusted expectations for future profitability and valuation multiples, even as revenue growth assumptions have been revised slightly lower.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value has risen moderately from €19.42 to €22.59, implying a higher intrinsic valuation for Umicore shares.
  • Discount Rate has fallen slightly from 8.44% to 8.08%, indicating a marginally lower perceived risk or cost of capital.
  • Revenue Growth expectations have declined slightly further, from approximately minus 43.75% to minus 44.93%, reflecting a more conservative top line outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin has risen modestly from 14.75% to 15.65%, suggesting improved profitability assumptions despite weaker revenue growth.
  • Future P/E has increased from 14.05x to 16.26x, pointing to a higher valuation multiple being applied to Umicore’s expected earnings.

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