Update shared on 10 Dec 2025
Fair value Increased 0.31%Narrative Update
The analyst price target for Qube Holdings has inched higher from A$4.97 to A$4.99, as analysts marginally lift fair value estimates on slightly higher long term growth assumptions and a modestly richer future earnings multiple.
What's in the News
- Macquarie Asset Management has entered into a process deed to acquire Qube Holdings for approximately AUD 9.2 billion, offering AUD 5.20 per share in cash. This signals a potential change of control at a premium valuation (Key Developments).
- The proposed transaction is contingent on satisfactory due diligence, entry into a Scheme Implementation Agreement on customary terms, and unanimous recommendation by the Qube Board. This reflects multiple execution milestones still to be met (Key Developments).
- Regulatory approvals are required from the Foreign Investment Review Board and the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, introducing timing and clearance risks to the completion of the deal (Key Developments).
- UBS is advising Qube Holdings as financial advisor, while Allens is acting as legal advisor. This signals a fully structured and actively managed transaction process (Key Developments).
Valuation Changes
- Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly, with fair value increasing from A$4.97 to A$4.99 per share.
- Discount Rate has edged higher, moving from 7.09 percent to 7.13 percent, which implies a marginally higher required return.
- Revenue Growth assumptions are essentially unchanged, ticking up fractionally from 8.84 percent to 8.84 percent.
- Net Profit Margin expectations are effectively flat, easing marginally from 6.64 percent to 6.64 percent.
- Future P/E has risen slightly, increasing from 30.29x to 30.42x, which indicates a modestly richer valuation multiple.
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