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Update shared on29 Jul 2025

Fair value Decreased 2.94%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
AU$29.91
25.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
07 Aug
AU$37.50
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1Y
-22.8%
7D
13.8%

The significant rise in Mineral Resources' future P/E ratio alongside a marked decline in net profit margin indicates weaker earnings expectations, prompting analysts to reduce their consensus price target from A$29.30 to A$27.10.


What's in the News


  • Mineral Resources Limited is considering selling a 10-15% stake in its mining services business, potentially raising $750 million to $1.1 billion, to boost cash reserves.
  • The company may sell a further stake in the Onslow haul road, with its remaining 51% stake valued higher than the previous sale of 49% for $1.3 billion due to the control premium.
  • Additional options include selling $789 million in Onslow Iron loan receivables or excess iron ore capacity above 40 million tonnes annually.
  • Morgan Stanley analysts project improved debt servicing, with free cash flow covering interest payments three times in FY26 and net debt to EBITDA expected to drop from 6.2x to 2.2x.
  • An undisclosed buyer acquired an unspecified stake in Mineral Resources Limited from HESTA managed by H.E.S.T. Australia Ltd.

Valuation Changes


Summary of Valuation Changes for Mineral Resources

  • The Consensus Analyst Price Target has fallen from A$29.30 to A$27.10.
  • The Future P/E for Mineral Resources has significantly risen from 8.86x to 13.03x.
  • The Net Profit Margin for Mineral Resources has significantly fallen from 15.48% to 9.19%.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.