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CGS: Share Buyback Completion Will Support Higher Profit Margins Ahead

Update shared on 10 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 51%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
159.1%
7D
-8.8%

Analysts have raised their price target for Cogstate from $2.19 to $3.30. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin forecasts as key drivers of this upward revision.

What's in the News

  • Cogstate completed the repurchase of 11,689,909 shares for AUD 15.7 million, representing 6.8 percent of shares under its buyback program announced in October 2024 (Key Developments).
  • Between January 1, 2025 and June 30, 2025, the company repurchased 10,264,534 shares for AUD 14.1 million, accounting for 5.97 percent of the company (Key Developments).
  • Management expects continued revenue growth for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026, with $31.5 million in contracted revenue as of June 30, 2025, and a further $4.4 million of revenue expected from new sales contracts since July 1, 2025 (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has increased from A$2.19 to A$3.30. This reflects a substantial upward revision.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly from 7.42 percent to 7.76 percent.
  • Revenue Growth forecast has increased from 7.6 percent to 10.3 percent.
  • Net Profit Margin estimate has improved from 21.5 percent to 23.1 percent.
  • Future P/E ratio has increased from 20.0x to 26.2x, indicating higher expected valuations relative to earnings.

Disclaimer

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