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GQG: Index Additions Will Drive Future Demand Despite Slightly Softer Outlook

Index Additions And Dividend Announcements Will Drive Future Asset Inflows

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GQG
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 19 Feb 2025

Update shared on 10 Dec 2025

Fair value Decreased 1.61%
Previous
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-23.1%
7D
-2.5%

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on GQG Partners, trimming fair value by about 2 percent as they factor in a marginally higher discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth expectations, and a modest uptick in projected valuation multiples.

What's in the News

  • Board declares an ordinary quarterly dividend of USD 0.037 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, payable on December 7, 2025, to shareholders on record as of October 22, 2025 (company announcement)
  • GQG Partners is added to the S&P/ASX 300 Index, expanding its presence in broader Australian equity benchmarks (index reconstitution notice)
  • Company joins the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index, increasing visibility among small cap focused investors (index reconstitution notice)
  • GQG Partners is included in the S&P/ASX 200 Index, marking its entry into a key institutional benchmark for Australian equities (index reconstitution notice)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has edged down about 2 percent, from A$2.35 to A$2.31 per share, reflecting slightly softer fundamental assumptions.
  • Discount Rate has risen slightly, from 8.11 percent to 8.18 percent, modestly increasing the required return applied in the valuation model.
  • Revenue Growth Assumption has been trimmed marginally, from 1.84 percent to 1.77 percent, indicating a slightly more cautious topline outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin Forecast has softened fractionally, from 50.62 percent to 50.55 percent, suggesting only a minimal change to expected profitability.
  • Future P/E Multiple has increased modestly, from 13.31x to 13.48x, implying a slightly higher valuation being ascribed to the company’s forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.