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MAD: Future Earnings Multiple Is Expected To Offset Modest Margin Compression

Update shared on 16 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 35%
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AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
25.6%
7D
1.2%

Analysts have raised their price target for Mader Group from approximately $6.15 to $8.29 per share, citing expectations of slightly faster revenue growth and a higher future earnings multiple, despite a modestly lower profit margin and marginally higher discount rate.

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: increased from approximately A$6.15 to A$8.29 per share. This represents a material upward revision to the intrinsic value estimate.
  • Discount Rate: risen slightly from 6.59 percent to 6.67 percent, reflecting a marginally higher required return.
  • Revenue Growth: increased modestly from about 13.19 percent to 13.73 percent, indicating slightly stronger growth expectations.
  • Net Profit Margin: edged down from roughly 7.13 percent to 6.93 percent, implying a small anticipated compression in profitability.
  • Future P/E: risen notably from 17.8x to 22.7x, suggesting the market is expected to assign a higher earnings multiple in the forecast period.

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