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DOW: Major Defence Contract And Share Buyback Will Shape Outlook

Update shared on 16 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 1.11%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
31.7%
7D
-2.2%

Analysts have raised their price target for Downer EDI from $7.28 to $7.36. This change is based on updated expectations in fair value and discount rate, while forecasts for revenue growth and profit margin remain stable.

What's in the News

  • Secured a major new contract with the Australian Department of Defence valued at approximately $3.05 billion for base and estate services. This contract will commence in February 2026 and may run for up to 10 years (Key Developments).
  • Awarded a 10-year contract by Urban Utilities to deliver water and wastewater infrastructure in South East Queensland, starting in September 2025 (Key Developments).
  • Declared a fully franked final ordinary dividend of AUD 0.141 for the six months ended June 30, 2025, payable on October 2, 2025 (Key Developments).
  • Announced a share repurchase program to buy back up to 33,578,684 shares, representing 5% of its outstanding shares, with the program expiring on June 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
  • Held an Analyst/Investor Day to update the market on company developments (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from A$7.28 to A$7.36.
  • Discount Rate increased modestly from 6.98% to 7.06%.
  • Revenue Growth forecast remains essentially unchanged at 3.20%.
  • Net Profit Margin expectation is stable at approximately 3.18%.
  • Future P/E ratio has increased marginally from 16.36x to 16.58x.

Disclaimer

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