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CPU: Earnings Outlook Will Balance Revenue Confidence And Currency Risks

Update shared on 11 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 0.19%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
18.1%
7D
2.6%

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Computershare, increasing the price target from A$38.21 to A$38.28. This adjustment is based on improved revenue growth indicators and confidence in management's future guidance, despite minor changes to the discount rate and profit margin assumptions.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research updates reveal a shift in sentiment among major analysts toward a more neutral stance on Computershare, with some moving their ratings upward from more bearish positions. These adjustments reflect evolving views on Computershare's revenue prospects, earnings guidance, and external risks.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Revenue leading indicators for the first quarter suggest that the company may be able to achieve management's earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2026.
  • Confidence in management's projections and guidance has improved, supporting recent upgrades and positive adjustments to price targets.
  • Valuation is considered reasonable relative to growth prospects, as reflected by higher price targets from multiple analysts.
  • Non-margin income indicators are trending in line with guidance, reinforcing expectations of stable performance in the core business.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Despite upgraded ratings, targets have not seen meaningful increases, and in some cases the price target was actually reduced. This indicates cautious optimism.
  • Foreign exchange movements, particularly the weakening of the USD against the AUD, are expected to have a slightly negative effect on valuation.
  • Analysts remain attentive to margin pressures and potential headwinds that could impact future profitability.
  • Some upgrades were primarily due to changes in valuation rather than a material improvement in company fundamentals.

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly, moving from A$38.21 to A$38.28.
  • The Discount Rate increased from 6.88% to 7.09%.
  • The Revenue Growth projection improved marginally, shifting from 1.43% to 1.44%.
  • The Net Profit Margin fell modestly, from 24.12% to 23.81%.
  • The Future Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio edged up from 21.70x to 22.09x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.