Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good USA Truck's (NASDAQ:USAK) Earnings Are

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 02, 2021
NasdaqGS:USAK
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USA Truck, Inc. (NASDAQ:USAK) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

View our latest analysis for USA Truck

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:USAK Earnings and Revenue History March 3rd 2021

Zooming In On USA Truck's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to December 2020, USA Truck had an accrual ratio of -0.14. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$27m, well over the US$4.75m it reported in profit. USA Truck's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On USA Truck's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, USA Truck has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think USA Truck's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And it's also positive that the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing USA Truck at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for USA Truck (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of USA Truck's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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