Taking a Fresh Look at Viasat’s (VSAT) Valuation After Its Recent Share Price Rebound

Viasat (VSAT) has quietly turned into a fascinating recovery story, with the stock up sharply this year even as the past month has been choppy. Investors are weighing growth against persistent losses.

See our latest analysis for Viasat.

At a share price of $33.57, Viasat’s 11.5% 90 day share price return and powerful year to date share price surge suggest momentum is still building as investors reassess its turnaround potential.

If Viasat’s rebound has you thinking about what else might be setting up for a rerating, this is a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

But with Viasat still loss making despite rapid share price gains and a sizeable gap to some intrinsic value estimates, is this a genuine mispricing to exploit, or is the market already baking in the recovery story?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 7.4% Undervalued

With Viasat last closing at $33.57 against a narrative fair value of $36.25, the story leans modestly in favor of further upside.

The focus on operational efficiency, portfolio review, and progressing integration with Inmarsat in addition to CapEx peaking with the ViaSat-3 program sets up Viasat for positive free cash flow inflection, deleveraging, and earnings improvement as major investment cycles wind down.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how modest revenue growth, a sharp margin reset, and a lower future earnings multiple can still point to upside, even after this rally? Read on.

Result: Fair Value of $36.25 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, heavy capital needs and intensifying satellite competition could still squeeze cash flows and margins, delaying the earnings inflection this narrative depends on.

Find out about the key risks to this Viasat narrative.

Build Your Own Viasat Narrative

If this interpretation does not quite match your view, or you would rather review the numbers yourself, you can build a complete narrative in just a few minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Viasat research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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