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Is Key Tronic (NASDAQ:KTCC) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Key Tronic Corporation (NASDAQ:KTCC) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Key Tronic's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Key Tronic had debt of US$105.2m at the end of June 2025, a reduction from US$119.5m over a year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
A Look At Key Tronic's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Key Tronic had liabilities of US$92.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$106.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.38m in cash and US$113.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$83.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$37.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Key Tronic would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
Check out our latest analysis for Key Tronic
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Key Tronic shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.045 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Key Tronic's EBIT was down 91% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Key Tronic's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Key Tronic reported free cash flow worth 19% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, Key Tronic's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. We think the chances that Key Tronic has too much debt a very significant. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Key Tronic you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Key Tronic might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:KTCC
Key Tronic
Provides contract manufacturing services for original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally.
Good value with low risk.
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