Stock Analysis
Smartsheet Inc. (NYSE:SMAR) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Smartsheet Inc. provides cloud-based enterprise platform to plan, capture, manage, automate, and report on work for teams and organizations. On 31 January 2023, the US$6.1b market-cap company posted a loss of US$216m for its most recent financial year. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Smartsheet will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.
See our latest analysis for Smartsheet
According to the 18 industry analysts covering Smartsheet, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2025, before turning a profit of US$142m in 2026. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 3 years from now. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2026? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 29% year-on-year, on average, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.
We're not going to go through company-specific developments for Smartsheet given that this is a high-level summary, but, bear in mind that by and large a high forecast growth rate is not unusual for a company that is currently undergoing an investment period.
One thing we’d like to point out is that Smartsheet has no debt on its balance sheet, which is quite unusual for a cash-burning growth company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.
Next Steps:
This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Smartsheet, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Smartsheet's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of important factors you should look at:
- Valuation: What is Smartsheet worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Smartsheet is currently mispriced by the market.
- Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Smartsheet’s board and the CEO’s background.
- Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
What are the risks and opportunities for Smartsheet?
Smartsheet Inc. provides enterprise platform to plan, capture, manage, automate, and report on work for teams and organizations.
Rewards
Trading at 19.1% below our estimate of its fair value
Revenue is forecast to grow 16.29% per year
Risks
Shareholders have been diluted in the past year
Significant insider selling over the past 3 months
Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years
Further research on
Smartsheet
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.