Investors one-year losses continue as PagSeguro Digital (NYSE:PAGS) dips a further 16% this week, earnings continue to decline

By
Simply Wall St
Published
May 07, 2022
NYSE:PAGS
Source: Shutterstock

As every investor would know, you don't hit a homerun every time you swing. But it should be a priority to avoid stomach churning catastrophes, wherever possible. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (NYSE:PAGS); the share price is down a whopping 72% in the last twelve months. That'd be a striking reminder about the importance of diversification. To make matters worse, the returns over three years have also been really disappointing (the share price is 55% lower than three years ago). Even worse, it's down 39% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.

After losing 16% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

See our latest analysis for PagSeguro Digital

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Unhappily, PagSeguro Digital had to report a 10.0% decline in EPS over the last year. The share price decline of 72% is actually more than the EPS drop. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, a year ago.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:PAGS Earnings Per Share Growth May 7th 2022

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on PagSeguro Digital's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

The last twelve months weren't great for PagSeguro Digital shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 72%. Meanwhile, the broader market slid about 8.5%, likely weighing on the stock. The three-year loss of 16% per year isn't as bad as the last twelve months, suggesting that the company has not been able to convince the market it has solved its problems. Although Baron Rothschild famously said to "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", he also focusses on high quality stocks with solid prospects. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with PagSeguro Digital (including 1 which is concerning) .

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

Discounted cash flow calculation for every stock

Simply Wall St does a detailed discounted cash flow calculation every 6 hours for every stock on the market, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any company just search here. It’s FREE.

Make Confident Investment Decisions

Simply Wall St's Editorial Team provides unbiased, factual reporting on global stocks using in-depth fundamental analysis.
Find out more about our editorial guidelines and team.