Paya Holdings (NASDAQ:PAYA shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 6.5% this week, taking one-year losses to 51%

By
Simply Wall St
Published
February 20, 2022
NasdaqCM:PAYA
Source: Shutterstock

The nature of investing is that you win some, and you lose some. And there's no doubt that Paya Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYA) stock has had a really bad year. The share price has slid 51% in that time. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down39% in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 16% in the last 90 days. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 11% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

Check out our latest analysis for Paya Holdings

Because Paya Holdings made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

Paya Holdings grew its revenue by 16% over the last year. We think that is pretty nice growth. Unfortunately it seems investors wanted more, because the share price is down 51% in that time. It may well be that the business remains approximately on track, but its revenue growth has simply been delayed. For us it's important to consider when you think a company will become profitable, if you're basing your valuation on revenue.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqCM:PAYA Earnings and Revenue Growth February 20th 2022

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Paya Holdings will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

A Different Perspective

Paya Holdings shareholders are down 51% for the year, but the broader market is up 1.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Shareholders have lost 12% per year over the last three years, so the share price drop has become steeper, over the last year; a potential symptom of as yet unsolved challenges. Although Baron Rothschild famously said to "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", he also focusses on high quality stocks with solid prospects. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Paya Holdings .

Of course Paya Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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