While Bottomline Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:EPAY) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Bottomline Technologies’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Is Bottomline Technologies still cheap?
According to my valuation model, Bottomline Technologies seems to be fairly priced at around 8.90% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Bottomline Technologies today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $39.78, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Bottomline Technologies’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What does the future of Bottomline Technologies look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Bottomline Technologies' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 69%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in EPAY’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on EPAY, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into Bottomline Technologies, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - Bottomline Technologies has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
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