Stock Analysis

JinkoSolar (NYSE:JKS) Valuation in Focus as Earnings and Institutional Shifts Draw Investor Attention

JinkoSolar Holding (JKS) is set to announce its quarterly earnings before markets open on Monday. This event is drawing extra interest from investors as fresh updates could shape the stock’s direction. Recent shifts among institutional holders add another layer of intrigue.

See our latest analysis for JinkoSolar Holding.

JinkoSolar’s recent momentum stands out, with a 17% jump in its share price over the past month and a 16.6% gain for the last quarter. This hints at positive shifts as the earnings announcement approaches. While the 1-year total shareholder return of 37.5% shows solid gains, long-term investors are still well underwater compared to five years ago. This reflects both the stock’s volatility and its potential as market sentiment evolves.

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With JinkoSolar’s stock sharply higher in recent weeks and both analysts’ targets and intrinsic estimates pointing to a considerable discount, the critical question is whether the market is undervaluing the company or if future growth is already factored in. Could this be a buying opportunity, or is optimism fully reflected in the current price?

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Most Popular Narrative: 27.7% Undervalued

The most widely followed narrative pegs JinkoSolar Holding’s fair value at $37.42 per share, notably higher than the last closing price of $27.04. This gap has caught the eye of investors eager to see what underpins such a strong upside case.

JinkoSolar is capitalizing on the increasing demand for high-power products, particularly third-generation TOPCon products with enhanced efficiency and performance. These are expected to boost revenue through premium pricing opportunities and market share gains. JinkoSolar is expanding its energy storage systems (ESS) business, with a significant increase in shipments and a strategic priority on overseas markets. This is forecasted to contribute to revenue growth and potentially improve earnings as this market segment develops.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious which bold growth levers help fuel this valuation? The story hinges on transformative profit targets and a growth pace that rivals industry leaders. Wondering how aggressive forecasts around profitability and international expansion all fit together? Read on to uncover the assumptions that justify this narrative’s striking fair value.

Result: Fair Value of $37.42 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing trade policy changes and falling U.S. shipments could threaten JinkoSolar’s profitability outlook and challenge the current undervalued narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this JinkoSolar Holding narrative.

Build Your Own JinkoSolar Holding Narrative

If you want to see things differently or believe your own analysis leads to another conclusion, you can easily craft your personal narrative in just minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your JinkoSolar Holding research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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