NYSE:TLYS

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Tilly’s, Inc. retails casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men and women, and boys and girls in the United States.


Snowflake Analysis

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Tilly's's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: TLYS's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

18.1%

TLYS

6.2%

US Specialty Retail

2.0%

US Market


1 Year Return

-30.3%

TLYS

-0.1%

US Specialty Retail

7.1%

US Market

Return vs Industry: TLYS underperformed the US Specialty Retail industry which returned -0.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TLYS underperformed the US Market which returned 7.1% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

TLYSIndustryMarket
7 Day18.1%6.2%2.0%
30 Day11.5%12.7%6.0%
90 Day-10.8%-8.6%-0.05%
1 Year-21.4%-30.3%1.3%-0.1%9.5%7.1%
3 Year-29.6%-46.3%22.2%16.3%30.7%22.1%
5 Year-21.2%-43.1%17.8%7.7%55.6%38.0%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Tilly's's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Tilly's undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

20.8%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: TLYS ($5.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($7.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TLYS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: TLYS is good value based on its PE Ratio (7.6x) compared to the Specialty Retail industry average (13x).

PE vs Market: TLYS is good value based on its PE Ratio (7.6x) compared to the US market (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: TLYS is good value based on its PEG Ratio (0.4x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: TLYS is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (1.1x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Tilly's forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?

18.2%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TLYS's forecast earnings growth (18.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: TLYS's earnings (18.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (21.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TLYS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TLYS's revenue (5.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TLYS's revenue (5.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TLYS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.3%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Tilly's performed over the past 5 years?

22.0%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: TLYS has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: TLYS's current net profit margins (3.7%) are lower than last year (4.2%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: TLYS's earnings have grown significantly by 22% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: TLYS's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: TLYS had negative earnings growth (-9.2%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Specialty Retail industry average (-3.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: TLYS's Return on Equity (14.1%) is considered low.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Tilly's's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: TLYS's short term assets ($208.9M) exceed its short term liabilities ($145.3M).

Long Term Liabilities: TLYS's short term assets ($208.9M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($241.5M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: TLYS is debt free.

Reducing Debt: TLYS has not had any debt for past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: TLYS has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.

Interest Coverage: TLYS has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Tilly's's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

5.69%

Forecast Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate TLYS's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate TLYS's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if TLYS's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if TLYS's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of TLYS's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

4.8yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Ed Thomas (65yo)

4.58yrs

Tenure

US$1,236,621

Compensation

Mr. Edmond S. Thomas, also known as Ed, serves as President, Chief Executive Officer and Director of the Tilly's Inc. since October 2015. He served as the Chief Executive Officer of Wet Seal Inc. since Sep ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Ed's total compensation ($USD1.24M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD1.40M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Ed's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Hezy Shaked
Co-Founder36.33yrsUS$707.16k21.2% $36.5m
Edmond Thomas
President4.58yrsUS$1.24m0.020% $34.8k
Michael Henry
Executive VP5yrsUS$500.72k0.12% $210.5k
Tricia Smith
Executive VP & Chief Merchandising Officer0.67yrUS$1.76mno data
Jonathon Kosoff
Chief Digital Officer0.25yrno datano data
Christina Campbell
VP & Controller5.17yrsno datano data
Tilly Levine
Vice President of Vendor Relations13.33yrsno data3.88% $6.7m

4.8yrs

Average Tenure

55.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: TLYS's management team is considered experienced (4.8 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Hezy Shaked
Co-Founder36.33yrsUS$707.16k21.2% $36.5m
Edmond Thomas
President4.58yrsUS$1.24m0.020% $34.8k
Seth Johnson
Independent Director9.08yrsUS$148.00k0.27% $459.1k
Bernard Zeichner
Independent Director9.08yrsUS$145.00k0.22% $372.1k
Janet Kerr
Independent Director8.75yrsUS$142.00k0.17% $301.3k
Douglas Collier
Independent Director8.67yrsUS$138.00k0.20% $350.7k

8.9yrs

Average Tenure

64.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: TLYS's board of directors are considered experienced (8.9 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: TLYS insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Tilly's, Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Tilly's, Inc.
  • Ticker: TLYS
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 1982
  • Industry: Apparel Retail
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: US$172.427m
  • Shares outstanding: 29.73m
  • Website: https://www.tillys.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Tilly's, Inc.
  • 10 Whatney
  • Irvine
  • California
  • 92618
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
TLYSNYSE (New York Stock Exchange)YesClass A Common StockUSUSDMay 2012
4TLDB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesClass A Common StockDEEURMay 2012

Biography

Tilly’s, Inc. retails casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men and women, and boys and girls in the United States. Its apparel merchandise includes tops, outerwear, bottoms, and dresses; and accessories merchandise comprises backpacks, hats, sunglasses, headphones, handbags, watches, jewelry, and others. The company also provides third-party merchandise assortment across its various product categories. As of February 2, 2019, it operated 229 stores in 33 states. The company also sells its products through its e-commerce Website, tillys.com. Tilly’s, Inc.was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. 


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/05/28 12:17
End of Day Share Price2020/05/27 00:00
Earnings2020/02/01
Annual Earnings2020/02/01


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.