How Does Party City Holdco Inc. (NYSE:PRTY) Affect Your Portfolio Volatility?

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If you’re interested in Party City Holdco Inc. (NYSE:PRTY), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Some investors use beta as a measure of how much a certain stock is impacted by market risk (volatility). While we should keep in mind that Warren Buffett has cautioned that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk’, beta is still a useful factor to consider. To make good use of it you must first know that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

Check out our latest analysis for Party City Holdco

What does PRTY’s beta value mean to investors?

Given that it has a beta of 1.95, we can surmise that the Party City Holdco share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If the past is any guide, we would expect that Party City Holdco shares will rise quicker than the markets in times of optimism, but fall faster in times of pessimism. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see Party City Holdco’s revenue and earnings in the image below.

NYSE:PRTY Income Statement, May 1st 2019
NYSE:PRTY Income Statement, May 1st 2019

Could PRTY’s size cause it to be more volatile?

Party City Holdco is a small company, but not tiny and little known. It has a market capitalisation of US$664m, which means it would be on the radar of intstitutional investors. It has a relatively high beta, which is not unusual among small-cap stocks. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a smaller company, actively traded small-cap stocks often have a higher beta that a similar large-cap stock.

What this means for you:

Since Party City Holdco has a reasonably high beta, it’s worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. In order to fully understand whether PRTY is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Party City Holdco’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for PRTY’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for PRTY’s outlook.
  2. Past Track Record: Has PRTY been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of PRTY’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how PRTY measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.