GES Stock Overview
Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children.
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||US$19.78|
|52 Week High||US$25.27|
|52 Week Low||US$16.05|
|1 Month Change||14.34%|
|3 Month Change||-3.56%|
|1 Year Change||-14.45%|
|3 Year Change||39.89%|
|5 Year Change||52.04%|
|Change since IPO||119.78%|
Recent News & Updates
These 4 Measures Indicate That Guess' (NYSE:GES) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Do Guess''s (NYSE:GES) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Guess? Is On Sale
Guess? has seen its financial performance improve recently, especially compared to the bottom caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Shares are also trading on the cheap right now, even though they are priced at a level that is comparable to similar firms. The company could be subject to volatility moving forward, but the overall situation is favorable right now.
|GES||US Specialty Retail||US Market|
Return vs Industry: GES exceeded the US Specialty Retail industry which returned -34% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GES matched the US Market which returned -13.5% over the past year.
|GES Average Weekly Movement||8.3%|
|Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement||8.9%|
|Market Average Movement||7.9%|
|10% most volatile stocks in US Market||17.2%|
|10% least volatile stocks in US Market||3.2%|
Stable Share Price: GES is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 8% a week.
Volatility Over Time: GES's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
Guess?, Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing. The company’s clothing collection includes jeans, pants, skirts, dresses, shorts, blouses, shirts, jackets, activewear, knitwear, and intimate apparel.
Guess' Fundamentals Summary
|GES fundamental statistics|
Is GES overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|GES income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||US$1.48b|
Last Reported Earnings
Apr 30, 2022
Next Earnings Date
|Earnings per share (EPS)||3.04|
|Net Profit Margin||6.21%|
How did GES perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
4.6%Current Dividend Yield
Is GES undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score 4/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GES?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
|What is GES's n/a Ratio?|
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does GES's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
|GES PE Ratio vs Peers|
|Company||PE||Estimated Growth||Market Cap|
DBI Designer Brands
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GES is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the peer average (6.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does GES's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GES is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (6.3x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is GES's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
|Current PE Ratio||6.5x|
|Fair PE Ratio||14x|
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GES is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of GES when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: GES ($19.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($58.67)
Significantly Below Fair Value: GES is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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How is Guess' forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 4 analysts?
Future Growth Score2/6
Future Growth Score 2/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GES's forecast earnings growth (18.9% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).
Earnings vs Market: GES's earnings (18.9% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GES's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: GES's revenue (3.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (7.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GES's revenue (3.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GES's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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How has Guess' performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score6/6
Past Performance Score 6/6
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings vs Industry
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: GES has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: GES's current net profit margins (6.2%) are higher than last year (4%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: GES's earnings have grown significantly by 42.9% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: GES's earnings growth over the past year (91.9%) exceeds its 5-year average (42.9% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: GES earnings growth over the past year (91.9%) exceeded the Specialty Retail industry 30.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: GES's Return on Equity (40.3%) is considered outstanding.
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How is Guess''s financial position?
Financial Health Score3/6
Financial Health Score 3/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: GES's short term assets ($1.0B) exceed its short term liabilities ($758.5M).
Long Term Liabilities: GES's short term assets ($1.0B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($1.1B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: GES's net debt to equity ratio (58.5%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: GES's debt to equity ratio has increased from 2.3% to 92% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: GES's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (32.2%).
Interest Coverage: GES's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (16.7x coverage).
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What is Guess' current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score 4/6
Cash Flow Coverage
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: GES's dividend (4.55%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.51%).
High Dividend: GES's dividend (4.55%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.09%)
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: GES's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: GES's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (25.8%), GES's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its high cash payout ratio (102.9%), GES's dividend payments are not well covered by cash flows.
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How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
Carlos Alberini (66 yo)
Mr. Carlos E. Alberini has been the Chief Executive Officer at Guess?, Inc. since February 20, 2019 and has been its Director since February 02, 2019. Mr. Alberini served as the Chairman and Chief Executiv...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: Carlos's total compensation ($USD15.73M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD3.93M).
Compensation vs Earnings: Carlos's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.
Experienced Management: GES's management team is seasoned and experienced (6.5 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: GES's board of directors are seasoned and experienced ( 17.3 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Guess', Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: Guess', Inc.
- Ticker: GES
- Exchange: NYSE
- Founded: 1981
- Industry: Apparel Retail
- Sector: Retail
- Implied Market Cap: US$1.077b
- Shares outstanding: 54.44m
- Website: https://www.guess.com
Number of Employees
- Guess', Inc.
- 1444 South Alameda Street
- Los Angeles
- United States
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2022/08/10 00:00|
|End of Day Share Price||2022/08/10 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.