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GCO

Genesco NYSE:GCO Stock Report

Last Price

US$64.29

Market Cap

US$882.6m

7D

9.2%

1Y

9.6%

Updated

13 Aug, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
GCO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

GCO Stock Overview

Genesco Inc. operates as a retailer and wholesaler of footwear, apparel, and accessories.

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (7.9x) is below the US market (15.9x)

Earnings have grown 6.4% per year over the past 5 years

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for GCO from our risk checks.

Genesco Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Genesco
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$64.29
52 Week HighUS$73.72
52 Week LowUS$48.54
Beta1.86
1 Month Change26.43%
3 Month Change7.71%
1 Year Change9.58%
3 Year Change92.08%
5 Year Change169.00%
Change since IPO771.73%

Recent News & Updates

Jul 01
Does Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Does Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...

Jun 13
These 4 Measures Indicate That Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

These 4 Measures Indicate That Genesco (NYSE:GCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...

May 31
What Does Genesco Inc.'s (NYSE:GCO) Share Price Indicate?

What Does Genesco Inc.'s (NYSE:GCO) Share Price Indicate?

Genesco Inc. ( NYSE:GCO ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on...

Shareholder Returns

GCOUS Specialty RetailUS Market
7D9.2%5.7%3.2%
1Y9.6%-28.5%-10.2%

Return vs Industry: GCO exceeded the US Specialty Retail industry which returned -28.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GCO exceeded the US Market which returned -10.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GCO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GCO volatility
GCO Average Weekly Movement7.6%
Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement9.0%
Market Average Movement7.7%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.9%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: GCO is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 8% a week.

Volatility Over Time: GCO's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
192411,700Mimi Vaughnhttps://genesco.com

Genesco Inc. operates as a retailer and wholesaler of footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company operates through four segments: Journeys Group, Schuh Group, Johnston & Murphy Group, and Licensed Brands. The Journeys Group segment offers footwear and accessories through the Journeys, Journeys Kidz, and Little Burgundy retail chains, as well as through e-commerce and catalogs for young men, women, and children.

Genesco Fundamentals Summary

How do Genesco's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GCO fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$882.62m
Earnings (TTM)US$111.02m
Revenue (TTM)US$2.40b

7.9x

P/E Ratio

0.4x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
GCO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$2.40b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.23b
Gross ProfitUS$1.17b
Other ExpensesUS$1.06b
EarningsUS$111.02m

Last Reported Earnings

Apr 30, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)8.09
Gross Margin48.87%
Net Profit Margin4.62%
Debt/Equity Ratio2.5%

How did GCO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is GCO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GCO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GCO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GCO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

GCO PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for GCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.1x
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
4.9x-19.8%US$993.8m
CHS Chico's FAS
9.2xn/aUS$822.2m
CAL Caleres
6.2x0.5%US$1.1b
GES Guess'
6.8x18.9%US$1.1b
GCO Genesco
7.9xn/aUS$882.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (6.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GCO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (6.8x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GCO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GCO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GCO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GCO ($64.29) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($29.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GCO is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Future Growth

How is Genesco forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 3 analysts?

Future Growth Score

0/6

Future Growth Score 0/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


3.3%

Forecasted annual revenue growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if GCO's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if GCO's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the US market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if GCO's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GCO's revenue (3.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (7.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GCO's revenue (3.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.2%).


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Past Performance

How has Genesco performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

4/6

Past Performance Score 4/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


6.4%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: GCO has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: GCO's current net profit margins (4.6%) are higher than last year (4.2%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GCO's earnings have grown by 6.4% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: GCO's earnings growth over the past year (29.2%) exceeds its 5-year average (6.4% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: GCO earnings growth over the past year (29.2%) underperformed the Specialty Retail industry 29.2%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: GCO's Return on Equity (18.5%) is considered low.


Discover strong past performing companies

Financial Health

How is Genesco's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: GCO's short term assets ($725.6M) exceed its short term liabilities ($464.9M).

Long Term Liabilities: GCO's short term assets ($725.6M) exceed its long term liabilities ($483.2M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: GCO has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: GCO's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 15.2% to 2.5% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: GCO's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (704.3%).

Interest Coverage: GCO's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (69.1x coverage).


Balance Sheet


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Dividend

What is Genesco current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Cash Flow Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate GCO's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate GCO's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GCO's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GCO's dividend payments have been increasing.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as GCO has not reported any payouts.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

3.1yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Mimi Vaughn (55 yo)

2.5yrs

Tenure

US$8,766,458

Compensation

Ms. Mimi Eckel Vaughn has been President and Chief Executive Officer of Genesco Inc. since February 02, 2020 and served as its Interim Chief Financial Officer since November 27, 2020 until December 14, 202...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Mimi's total compensation ($USD8.77M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD3.86M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Mimi's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: GCO's management team is considered experienced (3.1 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: GCO's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Genesco Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Genesco Inc.
  • Ticker: GCO
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 1924
  • Industry: Apparel Retail
  • Sector: Retail
  • Implied Market Cap: US$882.624m
  • Shares outstanding: 13.73m
  • Website: https://genesco.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Genesco Inc.
  • Genesco Park
  • 1415 Murfreesboro Pike
  • Nashville
  • Tennessee
  • 37217-2895
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/08/13 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/08/12 00:00
Earnings2022/04/30
Annual Earnings2022/01/29


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.