NasdaqGS:PDD

Stock Analysis Report

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Executive Summary

Pinduoduo Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China.


Snowflake Analysis

Exceptional growth potential with excellent balance sheet.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Pinduoduo's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: PDD's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

1.5%

PDD

2.0%

US Online Retail

-0.7%

US Market


1 Year Return

356.2%

PDD

49.9%

US Online Retail

5.3%

US Market

Return vs Industry: PDD exceeded the US Online Retail industry which returned 56.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: PDD exceeded the US Market which returned 6.7% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

PDDIndustryMarket
7 Day1.5%2.0%-0.7%
30 Day20.8%18.5%4.6%
90 Day105.2%34.7%14.0%
1 Year356.2%356.2%50.0%49.9%7.6%5.3%
3 Yearn/a116.4%116.2%34.9%26.1%
5 Yearn/a282.1%281.3%62.3%44.7%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Pinduoduo's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Pinduoduo undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

8.6%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: PDD ($88.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($96.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PDD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: PDD is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US Online Retail industry average.

PE vs Market: PDD is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the US market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PDD's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: PDD is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (33.1x) compared to the US Online Retail industry average (3.5x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Pinduoduo forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 32 analysts?

65.7%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PDD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.2%).

Earnings vs Market: PDD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: PDD's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PDD's revenue (28.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PDD's revenue (28.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PDD's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (34.3%)


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Pinduoduo performed over the past 5 years?

-48.5%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: PDD is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: PDD is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: PDD is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of -48.5% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare PDD's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: PDD is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Online Retail industry (-18.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: PDD has a negative Return on Equity (-42.42%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Pinduoduo's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: PDD's short term assets (CN¥73.1B) exceed its short term liabilities (CN¥48.6B).

Long Term Liabilities: PDD's short term assets (CN¥73.1B) exceed its long term liabilities (CN¥5.8B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: PDD's debt to equity ratio (34.8%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: Insufficient data to determine if PDD's debt to equity ratio has reduced over the past 5 years.


Balance Sheet


Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: Whilst unprofitable PDD has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if it maintains its current positive free cash flow level.

Forecast Cash Runway: PDD is unprofitable but has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years, due to free cash flow being positive and growing by 36.2% per year.


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Pinduoduo current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate PDD's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate PDD's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if PDD's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if PDD's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of PDD's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.1yrs

Average board tenure


CEO

Lei Chen (40yo)

no data

Tenure

Mr. Lei Chen serves as Chief Executive Officer at Pinduoduo Inc. since July 1, 2020. He serves as Chief Technology Officer of Pinduoduo Inc. since 2016. Mr. Chen was Director of Pinduoduo Inc. since Februa ...


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
Zheng Huang
Founder & Chairman5.5yrsno data37.17% CN¥39.3b
Nanpeng Shen
Independent Director2.25yrsno datano data
Lu Qi
Independent Director2yrsno datano data
Yong-Boon Yeo
Independent Director2yrsno datano data
Haifeng Lin
Director3.08yrsno datano data
Ping Leung Kam
Independent Director0.92yrno datano data

2.1yrs

Average Tenure

55.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: PDD's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.1 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 3%.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Pinduoduo Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Pinduoduo Inc.
  • Ticker: PDD
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 2015
  • Industry: Internet and Direct Marketing Retail
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: US$105.726b
  • Shares outstanding: 1.20b
  • Website: https://www.pinduoduo.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Pinduoduo Inc.
  • No. 533 Loushanguan Road
  • 28th Floor
  • Shanghai
  • Shanghai Province
  • 200051
  • China

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
PDDNasdaqGS (Nasdaq Global Select)YesSPONSORED ADSUSUSDJul 2018

Biography

Pinduoduo Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. It operates Pinduoduo, a mobile platform that offers a range of products, including apparel, shoes, bags, mother and childcare products, food and beverage, fresh produce, electronic appliances, furniture and household goods, cosmetics and other personal care items, sports and fitness items, and auto accessories. The company was formerly known as Walnut Street Group Holding Limited and changed its name to Pinduoduo Inc. in July 2018. Pinduoduo Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. 


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2020/07/13 23:52
End of Day Share Price2020/07/13 00:00
Earnings2020/03/31
Annual Earnings2019/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.