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O'Reilly Automotive

Nasdaq:ORLY
Snowflake Description

Proven track record with limited growth.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
ORLY
Nasdaq
$31B
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. US
  3. Retail
Company description

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States. The last earnings update was 74 days ago. More info.


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ORLY Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
-1.2%
NasdaqGS:ORLY
-0.2%
US Specialty Retail
-0.3%
US Market
1 Year Returns
33.5%
NasdaqGS:ORLY
3%
US Specialty Retail
3.9%
US Market
ORLY Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) -1.2% 4.7% -0.7% 33.5% 44.8% 161.5%
US Specialty Retail -0.2% 3% -3.4% 3% 26.6% 51.9%
US Market -0.3% 2.3% 2.3% 3.9% 36.7% 41.8%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • ORLY outperformed the Specialty Retail industry which returned 3% over the past year.
  • ORLY outperformed the Market in United States of America which returned 3.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
ORLY
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market
Related Companies

ORLY Value

 Is O'Reilly Automotive undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of O'Reilly Automotive to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for O'Reilly Automotive.

NasdaqGS:ORLY Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 21 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 8.5%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year US Government Bond Rate 2.7%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for NasdaqGS:ORLY
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate 2.7%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 6%
Specialty Retail Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 0.83
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 0.832 (1 + (1- 21%) (17.34%))
0.964
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
0.96
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (0.964 * 5.96%)
8.47%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for NasdaqGS:ORLY using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for O'Reilly Automotive is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

NasdaqGS:ORLY DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (USD, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 8.47%)
2020 1,284.78 Analyst x6 1,184.43
2021 1,374.60 Est @ 6.99% 1,168.25
2022 1,453.13 Est @ 5.71% 1,138.53
2023 1,523.14 Est @ 4.82% 1,100.17
2024 1,586.99 Est @ 4.19% 1,056.75
2025 1,646.55 Est @ 3.75% 1,010.77
2026 1,703.29 Est @ 3.45% 963.93
2027 1,758.33 Est @ 3.23% 917.36
2028 1,812.50 Est @ 3.08% 871.76
2029 1,866.44 Est @ 2.98% 827.58
Present value of next 10 years cash flows $10,239.51
NasdaqGS:ORLY DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2029 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= $1,866.44 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (8.47% – 2.73%)
$33,388.40
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= $33,388.40 ÷ (1 + 8.47%)10
$14,804.43
NasdaqGS:ORLY Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= $10,239.51 + $14,804.43
$25,043.94
Equity Value per Share
(USD)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= $25,043.94 / 78.28
$319.94
NasdaqGS:ORLY Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Value per share (USD) From above. $319.94
Current discount Discount to share price of $396.82
= -1 x ($396.82 - $319.94) / $319.94
-24%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

  • The current share price of O'Reilly Automotive is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a premium for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for O'Reilly Automotive's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are O'Reilly Automotive's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:ORLY PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2019-03-31) in USD $16.73
NasdaqGS:ORLY Share Price ** NasdaqGS (2019-07-19) in USD $396.82
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 62 Publicly-Listed Specialty Retail Companies 14.72x
United States of America Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 3,083 Publicly-Listed Companies 17.92x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of O'Reilly Automotive.

NasdaqGS:ORLY PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= NasdaqGS:ORLY Share Price ÷ EPS (both in USD)

= 396.82 ÷ 16.73

23.72x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • O'Reilly Automotive is overvalued based on earnings compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average.
  • O'Reilly Automotive is overvalued based on earnings compared to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does O'Reilly Automotive's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:ORLY PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 23.72x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 21 Analysts
5.8%per year
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 55 Publicly-Listed Specialty Retail Companies 1.72x
United States of America Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 2,123 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.57x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

NasdaqGS:ORLY PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 23.72x ÷ 5.8%

4.1x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • O'Reilly Automotive is poor value based on expected growth next year.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on O'Reilly Automotive's assets?
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:ORLY PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2019-03-31) in USD $4.76
NasdaqGS:ORLY Share Price * NasdaqGS (2019-07-19) in USD $396.82
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 99 Publicly-Listed Specialty Retail Companies 1.33x
United States of America Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 5,248 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.8x
NasdaqGS:ORLY PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= NasdaqGS:ORLY Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in USD)

= 396.82 ÷ 4.76

83.4x

* Primary Listing of O'Reilly Automotive.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • O'Reilly Automotive is overvalued based on assets compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess O'Reilly Automotive's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Specialty Retail industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Specialty Retail industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. O'Reilly Automotive has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ORLY Future Performance

 How is O'Reilly Automotive expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 21 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
5.8%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is O'Reilly Automotive expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • O'Reilly Automotive's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • O'Reilly Automotive's earnings growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
  • O'Reilly Automotive's revenue growth is positive but not above the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:ORLY Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
NasdaqGS:ORLY Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 21 Analysts 5.8%
NasdaqGS:ORLY Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 21 Analysts 5.3%
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 10%
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 5.5%
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 14%
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 7.4%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:ORLY Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (3 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 21 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in USD Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
NasdaqGS:ORLY Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 11,163 1,542 3
2020-12-31 10,705 1,850 1,470 21
2019-12-31 10,133 1,728 1,381 21
NasdaqGS:ORLY Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2019-03-31 9,664 1,736 1,341
2018-12-31 9,536 1,728 1,324
2018-09-30 9,412 1,658 1,326
2018-06-30 9,269 1,568 1,244
2018-03-31 9,104 1,459 1,174
2017-12-31 8,978 1,404 1,134
2017-09-30 8,886 1,384 1,078
2017-06-30 8,767 1,392 1,072
2017-03-31 8,653 1,384 1,047
2016-12-31 8,593 1,511 1,038
2016-09-30 8,443 1,433 1,010
2016-06-30 8,302 1,412 998

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • O'Reilly Automotive's earnings are expected to grow by 5.8% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
  • O'Reilly Automotive's revenue is expected to grow by 5.3% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:ORLY Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (3 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 21 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from O'Reilly Automotive Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NasdaqGS:ORLY Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 22.22 22.22 22.22 1.00
2020-12-31 19.79 20.49 18.70 16.00
2019-12-31 17.71 17.96 17.39 16.00
NasdaqGS:ORLY Past Financials Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) EPS *
2019-03-31 16.73
2018-12-31 16.27
2018-09-30 16.05
2018-06-30 14.77
2018-03-31 13.60
2017-12-31 12.82
2017-09-30 11.88
2017-06-30 11.57
2017-03-31 11.12
2016-12-31 10.87
2016-09-30 10.46
2016-06-30 10.21

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • O'Reilly Automotive is expected to make outstanding use of shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity greater than 40%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess O'Reilly Automotive's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
O'Reilly Automotive has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ORLY Past Performance

  How has O'Reilly Automotive performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare O'Reilly Automotive's growth in the last year to its industry (Specialty Retail).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • O'Reilly Automotive's year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years.
  • O'Reilly Automotive's 1-year earnings growth exceeds its 5-year average (14.2% vs 12.8%)
  • O'Reilly Automotive's earnings growth has exceeded the US Specialty Retail industry average in the past year (14.2% vs 11.1%).
Earnings and Revenue History
O'Reilly Automotive's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from O'Reilly Automotive Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

NasdaqGS:ORLY Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2019-03-31 9,664.36 1,340.73 3,023.47
2018-12-31 9,536.43 1,324.49 2,967.38
2018-09-30 9,412.28 1,326.45 2,942.15
2018-06-30 9,269.39 1,244.03 2,879.88
2018-03-31 9,104.15 1,173.78 2,813.01
2017-12-31 8,977.73 1,133.80 2,762.58
2017-09-30 8,886.22 1,077.52 2,728.46
2017-06-30 8,767.35 1,072.28 2,682.34
2017-03-31 8,653.21 1,047.25 2,641.84
2016-12-31 8,593.10 1,037.69 2,592.81
2016-09-30 8,442.85 1,010.24 2,564.91
2016-06-30 8,302.09 998.01 2,516.68
2016-03-31 8,160.92 973.73 2,468.59
2015-12-31 7,966.67 931.22 2,426.22
2015-09-30 7,781.80 894.32 2,573.70
2015-06-30 7,578.47 845.05 2,524.14
2015-03-31 7,390.04 817.19 2,484.52
2014-12-31 7,216.08 778.18 2,245.13
2014-09-30 7,073.14 748.85 2,392.97
2014-06-30 6,924.29 718.34 2,347.32
2014-03-31 6,792.17 689.82 2,308.53
2013-12-31 6,649.24 670.29 2,265.52
2013-09-30 6,516.39 650.75 2,229.20
2013-06-30 6,389.92 623.59 2,192.59
2013-03-31 6,237.80 592.58 2,153.23
2012-12-31 6,182.18 585.75 2,120.03
2012-09-30 6,085.11 575.93 2,081.94

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • Whilst O'Reilly Automotive made outstanding use of shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 40%), this is metric is skewed due to its high level of debt.
  • O'Reilly Automotive used its assets more efficiently than the US Specialty Retail industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • O'Reilly Automotive's use of capital deteriorated last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess O'Reilly Automotive's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Specialty Retail industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
O'Reilly Automotive has a total score of 4/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ORLY Health

 How is O'Reilly Automotive's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up O'Reilly Automotive's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • O'Reilly Automotive's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • O'Reilly Automotive's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of O'Reilly Automotive's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 1.1x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from O'Reilly Automotive Company Filings, last reported 3 months ago.

NasdaqGS:ORLY Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in USD Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2019-03-31 372.37 3,460.92 56.72
2018-12-31 353.67 3,417.12 31.32
2018-09-30 498.38 3,174.33 40.02
2018-06-30 384.99 3,253.54 36.87
2018-03-31 423.83 3,193.07 38.53
2017-12-31 653.05 2,978.39 46.35
2017-09-30 614.18 2,900.82 37.29
2017-06-30 869.31 2,604.06 26.53
2017-03-31 1,422.60 1,977.54 27.54
2016-12-31 1,627.14 1,887.02 146.60
2016-09-30 1,900.76 1,886.50 560.32
2016-06-30 1,690.01 1,886.32 398.26
2016-03-31 1,939.84 1,885.88 716.01
2015-12-31 1,961.31 1,390.02 116.30
2015-09-30 2,002.09 1,397.00 276.92
2015-06-30 1,969.99 1,396.87 260.04
2015-03-31 2,143.50 1,396.75 473.65
2014-12-31 2,018.42 1,388.42 250.56
2014-09-30 1,976.41 1,396.53 298.28
2014-06-30 2,117.58 1,396.42 453.43
2014-03-31 2,163.22 1,396.32 511.83
2013-12-31 1,966.32 1,396.21 231.32
2013-09-30 2,035.89 1,396.10 363.01
2013-06-30 2,006.14 1,395.99 365.93
2013-03-31 2,072.53 1,095.94 205.41
2012-12-31 2,108.31 1,095.96 248.13
2012-09-30 2,258.52 1,096.03 422.71
  • O'Reilly Automotive's level of debt (929.4%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (64.6% vs 929.4% today).
  • Debt is well covered by operating cash flow (50.2%, greater than 20% of total debt).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 14.7x coverage).
X
Financial health checks
We assess O'Reilly Automotive's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. O'Reilly Automotive has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ORLY Dividends

 What is O'Reilly Automotive's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
0%
Current annual income from O'Reilly Automotive dividends. Estimated to be 0% next year.
If you bought $2,000 of O'Reilly Automotive shares you are expected to receive $0 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Unable to evaluate O'Reilly Automotive's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to evaluate O'Reilly Automotive's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
NasdaqGS:ORLY Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 21 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
United States of America Specialty Retail Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 40 Stocks 2.1%
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 2017 Stocks 2.4%
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.4%
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.7%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

NasdaqGS:ORLY Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in $) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 0.00 4.00
2020-12-31 0.00 6.00
2019-12-31 0.00 6.00

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Unable to perform a dividend volatility check as O'Reilly Automotive has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to verify if O'Reilly Automotive's dividend has been increasing as the company has not reported any payouts.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of O'Reilly Automotive's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as O'Reilly Automotive has not reported any payouts.
Future Payout to shareholders
  • No need to calculate the sustainability of O'Reilly Automotive's dividends in 3 years as they are not expected to pay a notable one for United States of America.
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess O'Reilly Automotive's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can O'Reilly Automotive afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. O'Reilly Automotive has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ORLY Management

 What is the CEO of O'Reilly Automotive's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
Greg Johnson
COMPENSATION $4,866,262
AGE 53
TENURE AS CEO 1.2 years
CEO Bio

Mr. Gregory D. Johnson, also known as Greg, has been Co-President at O'Reilly Automotive Inc., since February 7, 2017 and its Chief Executive Officer since May 8, 2018. Mr. Johnson has been Executive Vice President of Supply Chain at O'Reilly Auto Enterprises, LLC since December 2014. He served as an Executive Vice President of Supply Chain at O'Reilly Automotive Inc. since December 2014. Mr. Johnson served as Senior Vice President of Distribution Operations at O'Reilly Automotive Inc. since September 2007. Mr. Johnson's primary area of responsibility is Distribution. He has been an O'Reilly team member for over 32 years. He served as Vice-President of Distribution Operations at O'Reilly Automotive Inc. He began his O'Reilly career as a part-time stocker in the Nashville DC with Mid-State in 1982 and later served as its Retail Systems Manager and Director of Information Systems. He served as Warehouse Management System Development Manager at O'Reilly Auto Enterprises and its Director of Distribution, Vice President of Distribution and Senior Vice President of Distribution Operations.

CEO Compensation
  • Greg's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year, both up more than 20%.
  • Greg's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the O'Reilly Automotive management team in years:

3
Average Tenure
53
Average Age
  • The tenure for the O'Reilly Automotive management team is about average.
Management Team

David O'Reilly

TITLE
Executive Chairman
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
69

Greg Johnson

TITLE
Co-President & CEO
COMPENSATION
$5M
AGE
53
TENURE
1.2 yrs

Greg Henslee

TITLE
Executive Vice Chairman
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
58

Jeff Shaw

TITLE
Co-President & COO
COMPENSATION
$3M
AGE
57
TENURE
2.4 yrs

Tom McFall

TITLE
Executive VP & CFO
COMPENSATION
$2M
AGE
49
TENURE
12.5 yrs

Jeff Groves

TITLE
Senior VP of Legal & General Counsel
AGE
53
TENURE
3.5 yrs

Brad Beckham

TITLE
Executive Vice President of Store Operations & Sales
AGE
40
TENURE
1.5 yrs

Jonathan Andrews

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Human Resources & Training
AGE
51
TENURE
0.5 yrs

Larry Ellis

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Distribution Operations
AGE
64
TENURE
4.6 yrs

Jeff Lauro

TITLE
Senior Vice President of Information Technology
AGE
53
TENURE
4.1 yrs
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the O'Reilly Automotive board of directors in years:

14.4
Average Tenure
69
Average Age
  • The average tenure for the O'Reilly Automotive board of directors is over 10 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced board.
Board of Directors

David O'Reilly

TITLE
Executive Chairman
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
69
TENURE
14.4 yrs

Larry O'Reilly

TITLE
Vice Chairman
COMPENSATION
$236K
AGE
72
TENURE
14.4 yrs

Greg Henslee

TITLE
Executive Vice Chairman
COMPENSATION
$1M
AGE
58
TENURE
1.2 yrs

Tom Hendrickson

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$229K
AGE
64
TENURE
9.5 yrs

John Murphy

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$229K
AGE
69
TENURE
16.5 yrs

Rosalie O'Reilly-Wooten

TITLE
Director
COMPENSATION
$227K
AGE
77
TENURE
39.5 yrs

Jay Burchfield

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$231K
AGE
73
TENURE
22.5 yrs

Dana Perlman

TITLE
Independent Director
COMPENSATION
$222K
AGE
39
TENURE
1.7 yrs

Andrea Weiss

TITLE
Independent Director
AGE
63
TENURE
0.2 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • O'Reilly Automotive individual insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price ($) Value ($)
23. May 19 Sell John Murphy Individual 21. May 19 21. May 19 -528 $361.05 $-190,634
22. Mar 19 Sell David O'Reilly Individual 20. Mar 19 20. Mar 19 -34,000 $375.48 $-12,766,320
22. Mar 19 Sell Lawrence O'Reilly Individual 20. Mar 19 20. Mar 19 -5,600 $375.48 $-2,102,688
28. Feb 19 Sell Lawrence O'Reilly Individual 26. Feb 19 26. Feb 19 -4,500 $378.85 $-1,703,684
19. Feb 19 Sell Rosalie O'Reilly-Wooten Individual 15. Feb 19 15. Feb 19 -10,000 $387.35 $-3,873,500
14. Feb 19 Sell David O'Reilly Individual 12. Feb 19 12. Feb 19 -40,000 $372.12 $-14,884,908
14. Feb 19 Sell Jay Burchfield Individual 13. Feb 19 13. Feb 19 -1,500 $375.92 $-563,880
28. Aug 18 Sell David O'Reilly Individual 24. Aug 18 27. Aug 18 -5,000 $331.00 $-1,654,580
23. Aug 18 Sell David O'Reilly Individual 21. Aug 18 22. Aug 18 -20,000 $330.70 $-6,605,841
23. Aug 18 Sell John Murphy Individual 23. Aug 18 23. Aug 18 -400 $331.28 $-132,513
23. Aug 18 Sell Rosalie O'Reilly-Wooten Individual 21. Aug 18 21. Aug 18 -5,000 $330.15 $-1,650,754
16. Aug 18 Sell David O'Reilly Individual 14. Aug 18 14. Aug 18 -2,500 $321.20 $-803,000
13. Aug 18 Sell Thomas Hendrickson Individual 09. Aug 18 10. Aug 18 -2,500 $319.34 $-798,283
09. Aug 18 Sell Ronald Rashkow Individual 07. Aug 18 07. Aug 18 -1,500 $315.77 $-473,658
06. Aug 18 Sell David O'Reilly Individual 03. Aug 18 03. Aug 18 -2,500 $310.56 $-776,405
X
Management checks
We assess O'Reilly Automotive's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. O'Reilly Automotive has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

ORLY News

Simply Wall St News

Should You Be Tempted To Sell O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY) Because Of Its P/E Ratio?

View our latest analysis for O'Reilly Automotive How Do You Calculate O'Reilly Automotive's P/E Ratio? … The formula for price to earnings is: Price to Earnings Ratio = Share Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS) Or for O'Reilly Automotive: P/E of 22.45 = $375.49 ÷ $16.73 (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2019.) Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good? … The Verdict On O'Reilly Automotive's P/E Ratio O'Reilly Automotive's P/E is 22.4 which is above average (17.7) in the US market.

Simply Wall St -

Should You Investigate O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY) At US$374?

Let’s take a look at O'Reilly Automotive’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. … Furthermore, O'Reilly Automotive’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. … If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

Simply Wall St -

Is O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY) Worth US$353 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

(NASDAQ:ORLY) by estimating the company's future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. … A DCF is all about the idea that a dollar in the future is less valuable than a dollar today, and so the sum of these future cash flows is then discounted to today's value: 10-year free cash flow (FCF) forecast 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Levered FCF ($, Millions) $1.12k $1.28k $1.37k $1.45k $1.52k $1.58k $1.64k $1.69k $1.75k $1.80k Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x7 Analyst x6 Est @ 6.9% Est @ 5.65% Est @ 4.77% Est @ 4.16% Est @ 3.73% Est @ 3.43% Est @ 3.22% Est @ 3.07% Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 8.84% $1.03k $1.08k $1.06k $1.03k $992.74 $950.02 $905.40 $860.37 $815.92 $772.67 Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF)= $9.50b "Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St After calculating the present value of future cash flows in the intial 10-year period, we need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all future cash flows beyond the first stage. … Terminal Value (TV) = FCF2029 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$1.8b × (1 + 2.7%) ÷ (8.8% – 2.7%) = US$30b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV) = TV / (1 + r)10 = $US$30b ÷ ( 1 + 8.8%)10 = $12.98b The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the future cash flows, which in this case is $22.48b.

Simply Wall St -

Are O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:ORLY) High Returns Really That Great?

In particular, we'll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), as that can give us insight into how profitably the company is able to employ capital in its business. … What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)? … ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business.

Simply Wall St -

I Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And O'Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:ORLY) Passed With Ease

O'Reilly Automotive's Earnings Per Share Are Growing. … I like to take a look at earnings before interest and (EBIT) tax margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. … You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below.

Simply Wall St -

How Many O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY) Shares Have Insiders Sold, In The Last Year?

So we'll take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. … O'Reilly Automotive Insider Transactions Over The Last Year. … O'Reilly Automotive insiders didn't buy any shares over the last year

Simply Wall St -

Should We Worry About O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ORLY) P/E Ratio?

We'll look at O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ORLY) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company's share price. … O'Reilly Automotive has a P/E ratio of 23.72, based on the last twelve months. … Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Simply Wall St -

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY): What Are The Future Prospects?

(NASDAQ:ORLY) released its earnings announcement on 31 December 2018, … with earnings expected to grow by 4.5% in the upcoming year … the higher past 5-year average growth rate of 13%.

Simply Wall St -

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY): What Does The Future Look Like?

Want to participate in a short research study? … Help shape the future of investing tools and receive a $20 prize! … O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ORLY) latest earnings update in December 2018a

Simply Wall St -

Is O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At The Intrinsic Value

I am going to run you through how I calculated the intrinsic value of O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. … by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to today's value. … Anyone interested in learning a bit more about intrinsic value should have a read of the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Simply Wall St -

ORLY Company Info

Description

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, and temperature control and water pumps; maintenance items comprising antifreeze and lighting products, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, and oil and wiper blades; and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools, and professional service provider service equipment. The company’s stores also offer enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter, and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; professional paint shop mixing and related materials; and machine shops. Its stores provide do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers a selection of brand name, house brands, and private label products for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. As of December 31, 2018, the company operated 5,219 stores. O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.

Details
Name: O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
ORLY
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Founded: 1957
$31,061,770,411
78,276,726
Website: http://www.oreillyauto.com
Address: O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
233 South Patterson Avenue,
Springfield,
Missouri, 65802,
United States
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
NasdaqGS ORLY Common Stock Nasdaq Global Select US USD 23. Apr 1993
DB OM6 Common Stock Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 23. Apr 1993
LSE 0KAB Common Stock London Stock Exchange GB USD 23. Apr 1993
WBAG ORLY Common Stock Wiener Boerse AG AT EUR 23. Apr 1993
BMV ORLY * Common Stock Bolsa Mexicana de Valores MX MXN 23. Apr 1993
BOVESPA ORLY34 BDR EACH 1 REP 0.2 COM USD0.01 Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo BR BRL 20. May 2019
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
78,882
O'Reilly Automotive employees.
Industry
Automotive Retail
Retail
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/07/19 23:47
End of day share price update: 2019/07/19 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/07/19
Last earnings filing: 2019/05/06
Last earnings reported: 2019/03/31
Last annual earnings reported: 2018/12/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.