NasdaqGM:OLLI

Stock Analysis Report

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings

Executive Summary

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise.

Snowflake

Fundamentals

Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.

Share Price & News

How has Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events


Market Performance


7 Day Return

3.7%

OLLI

1.6%

US Multiline Retail

0.07%

US Market


1 Year Return

-28.2%

OLLI

17.9%

US Multiline Retail

8.9%

US Market

Return vs Industry: OLLI underperformed the US Multiline Retail industry which returned 17.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: OLLI underperformed the US Market which returned 8.9% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

OLLIIndustryMarket
7 Day3.7%1.6%0.07%
30 Day-0.7%5.4%-0.3%
90 Day-28.3%14.2%-1.6%
1 Year-28.2%-28.2%21.0%17.9%11.3%8.9%
3 Year135.2%135.2%59.2%47.4%46.3%36.8%
5 Yearn/a62.4%41.9%62.1%44.3%

Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

0.5%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: OLLI ($63) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($63.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OLLI is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: OLLI is poor value based on its PE Ratio (28.7x) compared to the Multiline Retail industry average (13.1x).

PE vs Market: OLLI is poor value based on its PE Ratio (28.7x) compared to the US market (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: OLLI is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (2.7x)


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: OLLI is overvalued based on its PB Ratio (3.9x) compared to the US Multiline Retail industry average (1.4x).


Next Steps

Future Growth

How is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 14 analysts?

10.7%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: OLLI's forecast earnings growth (10.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.7%).

Earnings vs Market: OLLI's earnings (10.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: OLLI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: OLLI's revenue (13.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: OLLI's revenue (13.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: OLLI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.4%).


Next Steps

Past Performance

How has Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings performed over the past 5 years?

39.7%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: OLLI's earnings have grown significantly by 39.7% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: OLLI's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: OLLI had negative earnings growth (-7%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Multiline Retail industry average (-14.9%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: OLLI's Return on Equity (13.6%) is considered low.


Return on Assets

ROA vs Industry: OLLI has a higher Return on Assets than the Multiline Retail industry average last year.


Return on Capital Employed

ROCE Improving: OLLI has improved its Return on Capital Employed over the past 3 years.


Next Steps

Financial Health

How is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: OLLI's short term assets ($439.6M) exceeds its short term liabilities ($206.4M)

Long Term Liabilities: OLLI's short term assets (439.6M) exceeds its long term liabilities (320.4M)


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: OLLI is debt free.

Reducing Debt: OLLI has no debt compared to 5 years ago when its debt to equity ratio was 68.6%.

Debt Coverage: OLLI has no debt, therefore it does not need to be covered by operating cash flow.

Interest Coverage: OLLI has no debt, therefore coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet

Inventory Level: OLLI has a high level of physical assets or inventory.

Debt Coverage by Assets: Insufficient data to determine if OLLI's debt is covered by short term assets.


Next Steps

Dividend

What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?


Dividend Yield vs Market

companyn/amarketbottom25%1.4%markettop25%3.7%industryaverage2.3%forecastin3Years0%

Current dividend yield vs market & industry


Stability and Growth of Payments

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate OLLI's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate OLLI's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any payouts.

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if OLLI's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if OLLI's dividend payments have been increasing.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of OLLI's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the US market.


Next Steps

Management

What is the CEO of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

5.5yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Mark Butler (60yo)

16.8yrs

Tenure

US$4,072,167

Compensation

Mr. Mark Butler is one of the founding fathers of Ollie’s, having been with Ollie’s since its inception in 1982. He has been the Owner, President, and Chief Executive Officer of Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Inc ...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs. Market: Mark's total compensation ($USD4.07M) is about average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD5.11M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Mark's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


Management Age and Tenure

5.5yrs

Average Tenure

52.5yo

Average Age

Experienced Management: OLLI's management team is seasoned and experienced (5.5 years average tenure).


Board Age and Tenure

5.6yrs

Average Tenure

64yo

Average Age

Experienced Board: OLLI's board of directors are considered experienced (5.6 years average tenure).


Insider Trading

Insider Buying: OLLI insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

BuyUS$129,32013 Sep 19
Stanley Fleishman
EntityIndividual
Role
Member of the Board of Directors
Director
Shares2,000
Max PriceUS$64.66
SellUS$389,62401 Apr 19
Thomas Hendrickson
EntityIndividual
Role
Member of the Board of Directors
Director
Shares4,557
Max PriceUS$85.50

Ownership Breakdown


Management Team

  • Mark Butler (60yo)

    Founder

    • Tenure: 16.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$4.07m
  • John Swygert (50yo)

    Executive VP

    • Tenure: 1.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$2.06m
  • Kevin McLain (53yo)

    Senior VP of Merchandising & General Merchandise Manager

    • Tenure: 5.4yrs
    • Compensation: US$726.14k
  • Dan Haines

    Vice President of Marketing & Advertising

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Omar Segura (57yo)

    Senior Vice President of Store Operations

    • Tenure: 5.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$900.83k
  • Robert Bertram (51yo)

    VP & General Counsel

    • Tenure: 5.5yrs
  • Kelly Costanza

    Senior Vice President of Human Resources

    • Tenure: 0yrs
  • Jay Stasz (52yo)

    Senior VP & CFO

    • Tenure: 1.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$910.03k

Board Members

  • Tom Hendrickson (64yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 4.6yrs
    • Compensation: US$165.00k
  • Rich Zannino (60yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 7.1yrs
  • Mark Butler (60yo)

    Founder

    • Tenure: 16.8yrs
    • Compensation: US$4.07m
  • Bob Fisch (69yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 4.1yrs
    • Compensation: US$152.50k
  • Stanley Fleishman (68yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 6.6yrs
    • Compensation: US$155.00k
  • Steve White (64yo)

    Director

    • Tenure: 3.3yrs
    • Compensation: US$155.00k

Company Information

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
  • Ticker: OLLI
  • Exchange: NasdaqGM
  • Founded: 1982
  • Industry: General Merchandise Stores
  • Sector: Retail
  • Market Cap: US$4.006b
  • Shares outstanding: 63.59m
  • Website: https://www.ollies.us

Number of Employees


Location

  • Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
  • 6295 Allentown Boulevard
  • Suite 1
  • Harrisburg
  • Pennsylvania
  • 17112
  • United States

Listings

TickerExchangePrimary SecuritySecurity TypeCountryCurrencyListed on
OLLINasdaqGM (Nasdaq Global Market)YesCommon StockUSUSDJul 2015
OL6DB (Deutsche Boerse AG)YesCommon StockDEEURJul 2015

Biography

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of brand name merchandise. The company offers food products, housewares, books and stationery, bed and bath products, health and beauty products ...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2019/10/23 00:29
End of Day Share Price2019/10/22 00:00
Earnings2019/08/03
Annual Earnings2019/02/02


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.