Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN). The company's stock received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGS over the last few months, increasing to US$3,731 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$3,188. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Amazon.com's current trading price of US$3,289 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Amazon.com’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What is Amazon.com worth?
Great news for investors – Amazon.com is still trading at a fairly cheap price. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is $5455.94, but it is currently trading at US$3,289 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that Amazon.com’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Amazon.com?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Amazon.com's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Since AMZN is currently undervalued, it may be a great time to accumulate more of your holdings in the stock. With an optimistic outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as financial health to consider, which could explain the current undervaluation.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AMZN for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its buoyant future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy AMZN. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed buy.
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Amazon.com at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Amazon.com (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be familiar with.
If you are no longer interested in Amazon.com, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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