Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for OTCPK:PTZI.F using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
OTCPK:PTZI.F DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
The current share price of
is above its future cash flow value.
Often investors are willing to pay a
for a company that has a high dividend or the potential for future growth.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
PATRIZIA Immobilien's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
PATRIZIA Immobilien's earnings are expected to grow significantly at over 20% yearly.
PATRIZIA Immobilien's revenue is expected to decrease over the next 1-3 years, this is not considered high growth.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
PATRIZIA Immobilien's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
2/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
PATRIZIA Immobilien's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
PATRIZIA Immobilien is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
PATRIZIA Immobilien's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
PATRIZIA Immobilien's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
Low level of unsold assets.
Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 2.6x debt.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. Wolfgang Egger is the Founder of Patrizia Immobilien AG and serves as its Chairman of Managing Board. Mr. Egger has been the Chief Executive Officer and Member of Managing Board at Patrizia Immobilien AG since August 21, 2002. He serves as Managing Director of First Capital Partner GmbH, FCP Project A GmbH and W.E. Verwaltungs Gmbh, a general partner of WE Vermogensverwaltung GmbH & Co. KG. He served as Deputy Chairman of Eurobilia AG, Cologne until November 29, 2006. He served as a Member of Advisory Committee at IVG Immobilien AG.
Wolfgang's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
Wolfgang's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure
Average tenure and age of the
management team in years:
The average tenure for the PATRIZIA Immobilien management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.
CEO & Chairman of Managing Board
CFO & Member of the Managing Board
COO & Member of Managing Board
Chief Investment Officer & Member of Managing Board
Head of Innovation & Technology
Martin Praum Praum
Group Head of Investor Relations
Head of Corporate Integration
Head of M&A and Head of UK & Ireland
Regional Head of North-West Europe
Board of Directors Tenure
Average tenure of the
board of directors in years:
The tenure for the PATRIZIA Immobilien board of directors is about average.
PATRIZIA Immobilien AG has been active as an investment manager in the real estate market across Europe for more than 30 years. PATRIZIA’s activities include the acquisition, management, repositioning and sale of residential and commercial real estate through its own licensed investment platforms. As a global partner for pan-European real estate investment, PATRIZIA operates as a respected business partner of large institutional investors and retail investors in all major European countries. PATRIZIA manages almost EUR 40 billion of real estate assets, primarily as an investment manager for insurance companies, pension fund institutions, sovereign funds, savings and cooperative banks and as co-investor. For further information, please visit: www.patrizia.ag.
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