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Agile Group Holdings

OTCPK:AGPY.F
Snowflake Description

Very undervalued established dividend payer.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
AGPY.F
OTCPK
HK$37B
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. US
  3. Real Estate
Company description

Agile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, property management, hotel operation, property investment, environmental protection, and other businesses in the People’s Republic of China. The last earnings update was 54 days ago. More info.


Add to Portfolio Compare Print
  • Agile Group Holdings has significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
AGPY.F Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
-1.6%
OTCPK:AGPY.F
-2.2%
US Real Estate
-2.1%
US Market
1 Year Returns
-
OTCPK:AGPY.F
-17.2%
US Real Estate
1.3%
US Market
AGPY.F Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Agile Group Holdings (AGPY.F) -1.6% -16.1% - - - 48.5%
US Real Estate -2.2% -9.8% -12.3% -17.2% 13.7% -0.3%
US Market -2.1% -4.2% 0% 1.3% 33.5% 38%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • No trading data on AGPY.F.
  • No trading data on AGPY.F.
Price Volatility
AGPY.F
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market

Value

 Is Agile Group Holdings undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
Here we compare the current share price of Agile Group Holdings to its discounted cash flow analysis.value.

The discounted cash flow value is simply looking at what the company is worth today, based on estimates of how much money it is expected to make in the future.
Raw Data

Below are the data sources, inputs and calculation used to determine the intrinsic value for Agile Group Holdings.

OTCPK:AGPY.F Discounted Cash Flow Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Average of 19 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 14.7%
Perpetual Growth Rate 10-Year US Government Bond Rate 2.7%

An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.

Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for OTCPK:AGPY.F
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 10-Year US Govt Bond Rate 2.7%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 6%
Real Estate Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 1.11
Re-levered Beta = Unlevered beta (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
= 1.106 (1 + (1- 25%) (288.03%))
2.673
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm)
2
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 2.73% + (2 * 5.96%)
14.65%

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for OTCPK:AGPY.F using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model

The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for Agile Group Holdings is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.

OTCPK:AGPY.F DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (CNY, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 14.65%)
2019 26,198.67 Analyst x3 22,851.00
2020 22,336.16 Analyst x5 16,992.62
2021 18,698.45 Analyst x3 12,407.48
2022 16,529.39 Est @ -11.6% 9,566.67
2023 15,322.56 Est @ -7.3% 7,735.01
2024 14,664.95 Est @ -4.29% 6,457.08
2025 14,344.48 Est @ -2.19% 5,508.92
2026 14,242.54 Est @ -0.71% 4,770.84
2027 14,288.33 Est @ 0.32% 4,174.60
2028 14,437.51 Est @ 1.04% 3,679.19
Present value of next 10 years cash flows CN¥94,143.40
OTCPK:AGPY.F DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value = FCF2028 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= CN¥14,437.51 × (1 + 2.73%) ÷ (14.65% – 2.73%)
CN¥124,426.62
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
= CN¥124,426.62 ÷ (1 + 14.65%)10
CN¥31,708.28
OTCPK:AGPY.F Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= CN¥94,143.40 + CN¥31,708.28
CN¥125,851.68
Equity Value per Share
(CNY)
= Total value / Shares Outstanding
= CN¥125,851.68 / 3,917.05
CN¥243.93
OTCPK:AGPY.F Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Exchange Rate CNY/HKD
(Reporting currency to currency of SEHK:3383)
1.138
Value per Share
(HKD)
= Value per Share in CNY x Exchange Rate (CNY/HKD)
= CN¥32.13 x 1.138
HK$36.55
Non-primary Listing Adjustment Factor 1 share in OTCPK:AGPY.F represents 0.13172x of SEHK:3383
(This could be a different class, a depositary receipt, a different currency, or all of these things.)
0.13172x
Value per Share
(Listing Adjusted, USD)
= Value per Share (HKD) x Listing Adjustment Factor
= HK$ 36.55 x 0.13172
$4.81
Value per share (USD) From above. $4.81
Current discount Discount to share price of $1.25
= -1 x ($1.25 - $4.81) / $4.81
74%

Learn more about our DCF calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model .

Current Discount
Amount off the current price Agile Group Holdings is available for.
Intrinsic value
>50%
Share price is $1.25 vs Future cash flow value of $4.81
Current Discount Checks
For Agile Group Holdings to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the current price. Less than 40% is even better.
  • Agile Group Holdings's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
  • Agile Group Holdings's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a substantial discount (> 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Agile Group Holdings's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Agile Group Holdings's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
OTCPK:AGPY.F PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2018-12-31) in CNY CN¥1.84
SEHK:3383 Share Price ** SEHK (2019-05-22) in HKD HK$9.49
SEHK:3383 Share Price converted to CNY reporting currency Exchange rate (HKD/ CNY) 0.879 CN¥8.34
United States of America Real Estate Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 26 Publicly-Listed Real Estate Companies 14.91x
United States of America Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 3,082 Publicly-Listed Companies 17.36x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Agile Group Holdings.

OTCPK:AGPY.F PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= SEHK:3383 Share Price ÷ EPS (both in CNY)

= 8.34 ÷ 1.84

4.55x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Agile Group Holdings is good value based on earnings compared to the US Real Estate industry average.
  • Agile Group Holdings is good value based on earnings compared to the United States of America market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Agile Group Holdings's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
OTCPK:AGPY.F PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section 4.55x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 19 Analysts
14.9%per year
United States of America Real Estate Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 12 Publicly-Listed Real Estate Companies 0.43x
United States of America Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 2,120 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.5x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

OTCPK:AGPY.F PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PEG Ratio

= PE Ratio ÷ Net Income Annual Growth Rate

= 4.55x ÷ 14.9%

0.3x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Agile Group Holdings is good value based on expected growth next year.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Agile Group Holdings's assets?
Raw Data
OTCPK:AGPY.F PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2018-12-31) in CNY CN¥12.66
SEHK:3383 Share Price * SEHK (2019-05-22) in HKD HK$9.49
SEHK:3383 Share Price converted to CNY reporting currency Exchange rate (HKD/ CNY) 0.879 CN¥8.34
United States of America Real Estate Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 51 Publicly-Listed Real Estate Companies 1.5x
United States of America Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 5,207 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.8x
OTCPK:AGPY.F PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= SEHK:3383 Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in CNY)

= 8.34 ÷ 12.66

0.66x

* Primary Listing of Agile Group Holdings.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Agile Group Holdings is good value based on assets compared to the US Real Estate industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Agile Group Holdings's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Real Estate industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Real Estate industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Agile Group Holdings has a total score of 6/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Future Performance

 How is Agile Group Holdings expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 19 analysts?

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
14.9%
Expected annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Agile Group Holdings expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Agile Group Holdings's earnings growth is expected to exceed the low risk savings rate of 2.7%.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Agile Group Holdings's earnings growth is expected to exceed the United States of America market average.
  • Agile Group Holdings's revenue growth is expected to exceed the United States of America market average.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
OTCPK:AGPY.F Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
OTCPK:AGPY.F Future Earnings Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 19 Analysts 14.9%
OTCPK:AGPY.F Future Revenue Growth Rate Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Revenue of 19 Analysts 17.9%
United States of America Real Estate Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 4%
United States of America Real Estate Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 4.7%
United States of America Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 13.7%
United States of America Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 7.3%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
OTCPK:AGPY.F Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (4 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 19 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in CNY Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
OTCPK:AGPY.F Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in CNY Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income * Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 98,609 15,088 11,332 14
2020-12-31 87,815 7,698 9,669 19
2019-12-31 74,801 5,845 8,507 19
OTCPK:AGPY.F Past Financials Data
Date (Data in CNY Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2018-12-31 56,145 2,628 7,125
2018-09-30 54,821 -2,744 7,525
2018-06-30 53,498 -8,115 7,926
2018-03-31 52,553 -2,581 6,975
2017-12-31 51,607 2,953 6,025
2017-09-30 49,022 4,441 4,782
2017-06-30 46,436 5,929 3,539
2017-03-31 46,557 6,408 2,911
2016-12-31 46,679 6,887 2,284
2016-09-30 47,471 8,555 1,656
2016-06-30 48,262 10,224 1,029
2016-03-31 45,633 8,680 1,210

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Agile Group Holdings's earnings are expected to grow by 14.9% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
  • Agile Group Holdings's revenue is expected to grow by 17.9% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
OTCPK:AGPY.F Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (4 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 19 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Agile Group Holdings Company Filings, last reported 4 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

OTCPK:AGPY.F Future Estimates Data
Date (Data in CNY Millions) EPS * EPS High Estimate EPS Low Estimate Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 2.90 3.25 2.41 11.00
2020-12-31 2.48 3.11 2.12 16.00
2019-12-31 2.18 2.73 1.93 16.00
OTCPK:AGPY.F Past Financials Data
Date (Data in CNY Millions) EPS *
2018-12-31 1.84
2018-09-30 1.94
2018-06-30 2.04
2018-03-31 1.80
2017-12-31 1.55
2017-09-30 1.23
2017-06-30 0.91
2017-03-31 0.75
2016-12-31 0.59
2016-09-30 0.43
2016-06-30 0.27
2016-03-31 0.31

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Agile Group Holdings is not expected to efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future (Return on Equity less than 20%).
X
Future performance checks
We assess Agile Group Holdings's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the United States of America market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Agile Group Holdings has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Past Performance

  How has Agile Group Holdings performed over the past 5 years?

The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Agile Group Holdings's growth in the last year to its industry (Real Estate).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Agile Group Holdings's year on year earnings growth rate has been positive over the past 5 years.
  • Agile Group Holdings's 1-year earnings growth exceeds its 5-year average (18.3% vs 14%)
  • Agile Group Holdings's earnings growth has exceeded the US Real Estate industry average in the past year (18.3% vs -15.8%).
Earnings and Revenue History
Agile Group Holdings's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Agile Group Holdings Company Filings, last reported 4 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

OTCPK:AGPY.F Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in CNY Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2018-12-31 56,144.93 7,125.01 5,235.97
2018-09-30 54,821.50 7,525.26 5,028.34
2018-06-30 53,498.07 7,925.50 4,819.47
2018-03-31 52,552.56 6,975.37 4,561.35
2017-12-31 51,607.06 6,025.24 4,304.47
2017-09-30 49,021.52 4,781.97 3,870.87
2017-06-30 46,435.99 3,538.70 3,437.27
2017-03-31 46,557.43 2,911.17 3,496.72
2016-12-31 46,678.87 2,283.64 3,556.16
2016-09-30 47,470.63 1,656.41 3,364.33
2016-06-30 48,262.40 1,029.18 3,172.50
2016-03-31 45,633.36 1,209.76 3,201.19
2015-12-31 43,004.31 1,390.34 3,229.88
2015-09-30 40,670.08 2,299.88 3,222.39
2015-06-30 38,335.85 3,209.42 3,214.89
2015-03-31 38,326.72 3,748.33 3,218.25
2014-12-31 38,317.60 4,287.25 3,221.60
2014-09-30 37,909.89 4,511.45 3,259.64
2014-06-30 37,502.18 4,735.65 3,297.67
2014-03-31 36,469.29 4,781.28 3,052.53
2013-12-31 35,436.40 4,826.91 2,807.40
2013-09-30 34,347.91 4,945.40 2,635.24
2013-06-30 33,259.41 5,063.89 2,463.09
2013-03-31 31,575.58 5,032.18 2,281.12
2012-12-31 29,891.75 5,000.48 2,099.15
2012-09-30 26,575.12 4,542.30 1,985.14
2012-06-30 23,076.20 4,084.11 1,866.96

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • Agile Group Holdings has not efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity less than 20%).
  • Agile Group Holdings used its assets less efficiently than the US Real Estate industry average last year based on Return on Assets.
  • Agile Group Holdings has significantly improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed).
X
Past performance checks
We assess Agile Group Holdings's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Real Estate industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Agile Group Holdings has a total score of 4/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Health

 How is Agile Group Holdings's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Agile Group Holdings's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Agile Group Holdings is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Agile Group Holdings's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Agile Group Holdings's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 1.8x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Agile Group Holdings Company Filings, last reported 4 months ago.

OTCPK:AGPY.F Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in CNY Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2018-12-31 54,980.93 94,119.88 39,008.26
2018-09-30 54,980.93 94,119.88 39,008.26
2018-06-30 52,245.00 77,809.30 22,098.24
2018-03-31 52,245.00 77,809.30 22,098.24
2017-12-31 44,176.23 65,061.58 20,246.43
2017-09-30 44,176.23 65,061.58 20,246.43
2017-06-30 44,848.47 52,117.87 19,407.58
2017-03-31 44,848.47 52,117.87 19,407.58
2016-12-31 44,155.23 46,989.74 12,431.88
2016-09-30 44,155.23 46,989.74 12,431.88
2016-06-30 41,579.85 41,893.64 11,377.37
2016-03-31 41,579.85 41,893.64 11,377.37
2015-12-31 41,994.99 40,594.21 7,407.45
2015-09-30 41,994.99 40,594.21 7,407.45
2015-06-30 41,577.53 43,157.44 7,272.63
2015-03-31 41,577.53 43,157.44 7,272.63
2014-12-31 41,095.29 42,786.88 6,067.80
2014-09-30 41,095.29 42,786.88 6,067.80
2014-06-30 37,585.52 45,760.23 7,588.90
2014-03-31 37,585.52 45,760.23 7,588.90
2013-12-31 36,567.30 40,014.65 6,783.64
2013-09-30 36,567.30 40,014.65 6,783.64
2013-06-30 33,868.33 35,159.61 10,035.92
2013-03-31 33,868.33 35,159.61 10,035.92
2012-12-31 27,911.81 27,031.99 5,748.60
2012-09-30 27,911.81 27,565.00 5,803.79
2012-06-30 25,255.12 29,151.97 8,991.84
  • Agile Group Holdings's level of debt (171.2%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • The level of debt compared to net worth has increased over the past 5 years (109.6% vs 171.2% today).
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (2.8%, less than 20% of total debt).
  • Interest payments on debt are well covered by earnings (EBIT is 37.1x coverage).
X
Financial health checks
We assess Agile Group Holdings's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Agile Group Holdings has a total score of 3/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Dividends

 What is Agile Group Holdings's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
10.22%
Current annual income from Agile Group Holdings dividends. Estimated to be 13.13% next year.
If you bought $2,000 of Agile Group Holdings shares you are expected to receive $204 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Agile Group Holdings's pays a higher dividend yield than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (1.47%).
  • Agile Group Holdings's dividend is above the markets top 25% of dividend payers in United States of America (3.76%).
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
OTCPK:AGPY.F Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 19 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
United States of America Real Estate Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 16 Stocks 2.8%
United States of America Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 2008 Stocks 2.5%
United States of America Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 0.8%
United States of America Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 1.5%
United States of America Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 3.8%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

OTCPK:AGPY.F Future Dividends Estimate Data
Date (Data in CN¥) Dividend per Share (annual) Avg. No. Analysts
2021-12-31 1.25 14.00
2020-12-31 1.11 19.00
2019-12-31 0.97 19.00
OTCPK:AGPY.F Past Annualized Dividends Data
Date (Data in CN¥) Dividend per share (annual) Avg. Yield (%)
2019-04-01 0.853 8.660
2018-08-29 1.005 11.679
2018-04-09 0.719 6.523
2018-03-21 0.720 5.626
2017-08-30 0.553 5.679
2017-08-28 0.581 7.517
2017-03-29 0.380 6.069
2016-04-11 0.121 3.288
2016-03-23 0.121 3.368
2015-09-15 0.000 0.000
2015-08-26 0.000 0.000
2015-04-30 0.316 7.678
2015-03-25 0.316 7.302
2014-04-24 0.374 9.402
2014-03-28 0.380 7.140
2013-04-15 0.299 4.694
2013-03-25 0.306 4.099
2012-03-08 0.274 3.581
2011-08-18 0.274 4.653
2011-03-16 0.238 2.386
2010-08-20 0.154 1.732
2010-04-29 0.157 2.050
2010-04-15 0.157 2.001
2009-09-09 0.105 1.146

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Dividends per share have been volatile in the past 10 years (annual drop of over 20%).
  • Dividends per share have increased over the past 10 years.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Agile Group Holdings's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Dividends paid are well covered by earnings (2.1x coverage).
Future Payout to shareholders
  • Dividends after 3 years are expected to be well covered by earnings (2.1x coverage).
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Agile Group Holdings's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 0.8%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Agile Group Holdings afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Agile Group Holdings has a total score of 5/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Management

 What is the CEO of Agile Group Holdings's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
CEO
Zhuo Lin Chen
AGE 56
TENURE AS CEO 5.2 years
CEO Bio

Mr. Zhuo Lin Chen is the Founder of Agile Group Holdings Limited and has been its President since March 2014. Mr. Chen has over 21 years extensive experience in the real estate development and management. He co-founded the Agile property brandname. Mr. Chen served as a General Manager in Zhongshan Dynasty Furniture Factory, the foundation of Agile Property Holdings Ltd. Group, from 1989 to 1992. Prior to Zhongshan Group Co., Mr. Chen served as the President of Zhongshan Agile Co. from 1992 to 1996 and as the President of Zhongshan Group Co. since 1997. In 1993, Mr. Chen made the strategic decision to target the Hong Kong and Macau customer base in respect of PRC property development and laid a sound foundation for the development of the Group. Thereafter, Mr. Chen started to expand Agile Property Holdings Ltd. business from Zhongshan to Guangzhou in 2000 and Foshan in 2001. The success in developing large real estate projects in Guangzhou and Foshan has led Agile Property Holdings Ltd. to become one of the leading real estate developers in the Guangdong Province. Mr. Chen was responsible for the formulation of development strategies, making decisions on investment projects and development directions on the operations and overall business management of the Group. Mr. Chen has been the Chairman and Executive Director of Agile Group Holdings Limited since August 2005. He is the honorary Chairman of Hong Kong Zhongshan Sanxiang Friendship Association and the Vice-Chairman of Zhongshan Qiaozi Enterprise Association. For the public services, Mr. Chen serves as an executive vice chairperson of China Overseas Chinese Entrepreneurs Association, Honorary vice president of Chinese Language and Culture Education Foundation of China, Honorary chairperson of Hong Kong-Zhongshan Sanxiang Fellowship Association, vice chairperson of Zhongshan Association of Enterprise with Overseas Chinese Investment and vice chairperson of Guangdong Overseas Chinese Enterprises Association Mr. Chen received a number of awards during 2007 to 2009, including “World Outstanding Chinese Award” in 2007, “Top 30 Chinese Philanthropists in 30 Years of Reform” in 2008, “China Philanthropy Outstanding Contribution Individual Award” and “Top 10 Persons of the Year for China Enterprise Management Excellence Award” in 2009. He received an Honorary Doctorate Degree in Business Administration from Armstrong University, USA in 2007.

CEO Compensation
  • Zhuo Lin's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year, both up more than 20%.
  • Zhuo Lin's remuneration is about average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Management Team Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Agile Group Holdings management team in years:

5.8
Average Tenure
51.5
Average Age
  • The average tenure for the Agile Group Holdings management team is over 5 years, this suggests they are a seasoned and experienced team.
Management Team

Zhuo Lin Chen

TITLE
Chairman & President
AGE
56
TENURE
5.2 yrs

Zhongqi Chen

TITLE
Executive Director & VP
COMPENSATION
CN¥22M
AGE
50

Cheuk Hung Chan

TITLE
VP & Executive Director
AGE
61
TENURE
13.8 yrs

Fengchao Huang

TITLE
VP & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
CN¥23M
AGE
56

Sam Cheung

TITLE
Chief Financial Officer
AGE
53
TENURE
6.3 yrs

Jacky Chan

TITLE
Deputy Head

Ping Yuk Lam

TITLE
Company Secretary and Senior Head of Capital Markets & Corporate Affairs Department
AGE
46
TENURE
4.3 yrs

Xuejun Li

TITLE
VP & President of Environmental Protection Group
AGE
37

Haiyang Wang

TITLE
VP & President of the Company’s Property Group
AGE
47
Board of Directors Tenure

Average tenure and age of the Agile Group Holdings board of directors in years:

9.4
Average Tenure
56.5
Average Age
  • The tenure for the Agile Group Holdings board of directors is about average.
Board of Directors

Fion Luk

TITLE
Vice Chairperson
COMPENSATION
CN¥355K
AGE
57
TENURE
4.2 yrs

Zhuo Lin Chen

TITLE
Chairman & President
AGE
56
TENURE
13.8 yrs

Cheuk Yin Chan

TITLE
Vice Chairperson
COMPENSATION
CN¥355K
AGE
51
TENURE
4.2 yrs

Zhongqi Chen

TITLE
Executive Director & VP
COMPENSATION
CN¥22M
AGE
50
TENURE
5.2 yrs

Cheuk Hung Chan

TITLE
VP & Executive Director
AGE
61
TENURE
13.8 yrs

Fengchao Huang

TITLE
VP & Executive Director
COMPENSATION
CN¥23M
AGE
56
TENURE
5.2 yrs

Hon Kwan Cheng

TITLE
Independent Non-Executive Director
COMPENSATION
CN¥355K
AGE
90
TENURE
13.6 yrs

Gordon Kwong

TITLE
Independent Non-Executive Director
COMPENSATION
CN¥355K
AGE
69
TENURE
13.6 yrs

Stephen Hui

TITLE
Independent Non-Executive Director
COMPENSATION
CN¥355K
AGE
71
TENURE
4.9 yrs

Cheuk Nam Chan

TITLE
Non-Executive Director
COMPENSATION
CN¥355K
AGE
55
TENURE
14.2 yrs
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • No 3 month insider trading information.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price ($) Value ($)
15. Oct 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 11. Oct 18 11. Oct 18 2,900,000 $1.12 $3,262,097
11. Sep 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 07. Sep 18 07. Sep 18 1,000,000 $1.44 $1,444,514
10. Sep 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 06. Sep 18 06. Sep 18 1,200,000 $1.43 $1,712,951
04. Sep 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 31. Aug 18 31. Aug 18 1,004,000 $1.63 $1,634,714
03. Sep 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 30. Aug 18 30. Aug 18 2,900,000 $1.64 $4,767,113
31. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 27. Jul 18 27. Jul 18 4,528,000 $1.63 $7,373,803
30. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 26. Jul 18 26. Jul 18 5,000,000 $1.60 $8,012,850
27. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 25. Jul 18 25. Jul 18 4,996,000 $1.61 $8,021,158
26. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 24. Jul 18 24. Jul 18 2,101 $1.61 $3,390
25. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 23. Jul 18 23. Jul 18 2,800,000 $1.54 $4,300,825
24. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 20. Jul 18 20. Jul 18 2,722,000 $1.47 $4,004,457
23. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 19. Jul 18 19. Jul 18 2,288,000 $1.49 $3,405,713
20. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 18. Jul 18 18. Jul 18 2,418,000 $1.52 $3,667,702
19. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 17. Jul 18 17. Jul 18 1,648,000 $1.53 $2,514,075
18. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 16. Jul 18 16. Jul 18 4,906,000 $1.55 $7,602,112
17. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 13. Jul 18 13. Jul 18 9,262,000 $1.56 $14,468,976
16. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 12. Jul 18 12. Jul 18 8,614,000 $1.54 $13,304,142
13. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 11. Jul 18 11. Jul 18 10,376,000 $1.45 $15,094,611
11. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 09. Jul 18 09. Jul 18 1,200,000 $1.53 $1,840,028
12. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 10. Jul 18 10. Jul 18 2,360,000 $1.47 $3,468,995
10. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 06. Jul 18 06. Jul 18 1,048,000 $1.50 $1,567,827
09. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 05. Jul 18 05. Jul 18 1,612,000 $1.48 $2,382,201
06. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 04. Jul 18 04. Jul 18 900,000 $1.53 $1,379,741
05. Jul 18 Buy Zhuo Lin Chen Individual 03. Jul 18 03. Jul 18 1,288,000 $1.60 $2,065,062
X
Management checks
We assess Agile Group Holdings's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Agile Group Holdings has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

News

Simply Wall St News

Company Info

Description

Agile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, property management, hotel operation, property investment, environmental protection, and other businesses in the People’s Republic of China. As of December 31, 2018, the company had a land bank with a total gross floor area of 36.23 million square meters in 65 cities located in Southern China region, Eastern China region, Western China region, Central China region, Hainan region, Yunnan region, Northeast China region, Northern China region, and Kuala Lumpur of Malaysia. It also provides property management services covering 78 cities in 24 provinces, municipalities, and autonomous regions, including a gross floor area of 138.12 million square meters; asset management services; and intelligent community, tourism management, advertising, building inspection, and management consulting services. In addition, the company is involved in the operation of hotels, shopping malls, office buildings, and community retail malls. Further, it provides hazardous waste treatment, water treatment, and solid waste treatment services; general construction contracting, landscape engineering, greening management, nursery planting, home decoration, design consulting, and materials trading services; and real estate construction management services. The company was formerly known as Agile Property Holdings Limited and changed its name to Agile Group Holdings Limited in July 2016. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People’s Republic of China. Agile Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Top Coast Investment Limited.

Details
Name: Agile Group Holdings Limited
AGPY.F
Exchange: OTCPK
Founded: 1985
HK$4,735,772,187
3,917,047,500
Website: http://www.agile.com.cn
Address: Agile Group Holdings Limited
Agile Center,
33rd Floor,
Guangzhou,
Guangdong Province, 510623,
China
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
SEHK 3383 Ordinary Shares The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Ltd. HK HKD 15. Dec 2005
OTCPK AGPY.F Ordinary Shares Pink Sheets LLC US USD 15. Dec 2005
DB A8P Ordinary Shares Deutsche Boerse AG DE EUR 15. Dec 2005
SHSC 3383 Ordinary Shares Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited - Shanghai - Hong Kong Stock Connect HK HKD 15. Dec 2005
SZSC 3383 Ordinary Shares The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong - Shenzhen - Hong Kong Stock Connect HK HKD 15. Dec 2005
OTCPK AGPY.Y UNSPONSORED ADR Pink Sheets LLC US USD 05. Nov 2008
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
24,410
Agile Group Holdings employees.
Industry
Real Estate Development
Real Estate
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/05/25 00:09
End of day share price update: 2019/05/22 00:00
Last estimates confirmation: 2019/05/23
Last earnings filing: 2019/04/01
Last earnings reported: 2018/12/31
Last annual earnings reported: 2018/12/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.