NYSE:XIN

Stock Analysis Report

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Market Cap

US$129.9m

Last Updated

2021/08/04 22:55 UTC

Data Sources

Company Financials +

Executive Summary

Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in residential real estate development in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, and internationally. More Details


Snowflake Analysis

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.


Similar Companies

Share Price & News

How has Xinyuan Real Estate's share price performed over time and what events caused price changes?


Latest Share Price and Events

Stable Share Price: XIN is more volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 12% a week.

Volatility Over Time: XIN's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.


Market Performance


7 Day Return

-4.3%

XIN

-0.9%

US Real Estate

0.9%

US Market


1 Year Return

-9.6%

XIN

90.8%

US Real Estate

34.7%

US Market

Return vs Industry: XIN underperformed the US Real Estate industry which returned 90.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: XIN underperformed the US Market which returned 34.7% over the past year.


Shareholder returns

XINIndustryMarket
7 Day-4.3%-0.9%0.9%
30 Day-21.7%-17.1%0.2%
90 Day-19.2%-18.6%4.7%
1 Year-7.7%-9.6%94.0%90.8%36.8%34.7%
3 Year-41.6%-52.2%32.2%24.1%62.5%52.4%
5 Year-46.7%-62.1%63.2%42.4%123.1%98.4%

Long-Term Price Volatility Vs. Market

How volatile is Xinyuan Real Estate's share price compared to the market and industry in the last 5 years?


Simply Wall St News

Valuation

Is Xinyuan Real Estate undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: XIN ($1.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($155.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XIN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: XIN is good value based on its PE Ratio (-12x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (23.7x).

PE vs Market: XIN is good value based on its PE Ratio (-12x) compared to the US market (18x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate XIN's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: XIN is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.1x) compared to the US Real Estate industry average (1.2x).


Future Growth

How is Xinyuan Real Estate forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

24.7%

Forecasted Real Estate industry annual growth in earnings


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if XIN's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (2%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if XIN's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the US market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if XIN's revenue is forecast to grow faster than the US market.

High Growth Revenue: Insufficient data to determine if XIN's revenue is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if XIN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has Xinyuan Real Estate performed over the past 5 years?

-17.4%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: XIN has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: XIN's current net profit margins (0.2%) are lower than last year (2.7%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: XIN's earnings have declined by 17.4% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: XIN's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: XIN had negative earnings growth (-96%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Real Estate industry average (-3.5%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: XIN's Return on Equity (1.1%) is considered low.


Financial Health

How is Xinyuan Real Estate's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: XIN's short term assets (CN¥59.5B) exceed its short term liabilities (CN¥43.9B).

Long Term Liabilities: XIN's short term assets (CN¥59.5B) exceed its long term liabilities (CN¥10.7B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: XIN's debt to equity ratio (91.6%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: XIN's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 185.2% to 91.6% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: XIN's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (31.2%).

Interest Coverage: XIN earns more interest than it pays, so coverage of interest payments is not a concern.


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Xinyuan Real Estate current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

4.97%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: XIN's dividend (4.97%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.3%).

High Dividend: XIN's dividend (4.97%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.54%)


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: XIN's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: XIN's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: XIN is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if a dividend will be paid in 3 years and that it will be covered by earnings.


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

2.2yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Yong Zhang (59 yo)

2.17yrs

Tenure

Mr. Yong Zhang serves as Non-Executive Chairman and Director of Xinyuan Property Management Service (Cayman) Ltd. since April 09, 2019. Mr. Zhang co-founded Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd. in 1997 and serves...


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: XIN's management team is considered experienced (2.2 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: XIN's board of directors are considered experienced (9.5 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd.'s company bio, employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd.
  • Ticker: XIN
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 1997
  • Industry: Real Estate Development
  • Sector: Real Estate
  • Market Cap: US$129.893m
  • Shares outstanding: 65.60m
  • Website: https://www.xyre.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd.
  • China Central Place, Tower II
  • 27th Floor
  • Beijing
  • Beijing Province
  • 100025
  • China

Listings


Biography

Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in residential real estate development in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, and internationally. It develops resident...


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/08/04 22:55
End of Day Share Price2021/08/04 00:00
Earnings2020/12/31
Annual Earnings2020/12/31


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.