Stock Analysis

Here's Why I Think Equity Residential (NYSE:EQR) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

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NYSE:EQR
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For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it completely lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses.

So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Equity Residential (NYSE:EQR). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

See our latest analysis for Equity Residential

How Fast Is Equity Residential Growing?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price will eventually follow. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Equity Residential managed to grow EPS by 15% per year, over three years. That's a pretty good rate, if the company can sustain it.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). To cut to the chase Equity Residential's EBIT margins dropped last year, and so did its revenue. That will not make it easy to grow profits, to say the least.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:EQR Earnings and Revenue History November 23rd 2021

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Equity Residential's future profits.

Are Equity Residential Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$33b company like Equity Residential. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Indeed, they have a glittering mountain of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$403m. I would find that kind of skin in the game quite encouraging, if I owned shares, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience my success, or failure, with the stock.

It means a lot to see insiders invested in the business, but I find myself wondering if remuneration policies are shareholder friendly. A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. I discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like Equity Residential, with market caps over US$8.0b, is about US$11m.

The Equity Residential CEO received US$7.6m in compensation for the year ending . That comes in below the average for similar sized companies, and seems pretty reasonable to me. While the level of CEO compensation isn't a huge factor in my view of the company, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Should You Add Equity Residential To Your Watchlist?

As I already mentioned, Equity Residential is a growing business, which is what I like to see. Earnings growth might be the main game for Equity Residential, but the fun does not stop there. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. We should say that we've discovered 4 warning signs for Equity Residential (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you can do well (sometimes) buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But as a growth investor I always like to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

What are the risks and opportunities for Equity Residential?

Equity Residential is committed to creating communities where people thrive.

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Rewards

  • Trading at 12% below our estimate of its fair value

  • Earnings have grown 14.3% per year over the past 5 years

Risks

  • Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 0.9% per year for the next 3 years

  • Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

  • Large one-off items impacting financial results

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