Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated's (NYSE:CHCT) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
December 17, 2020
NYSE:CHCT

Community Healthcare Trust (NYSE:CHCT) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 5.6% over the last month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Community Healthcare Trust's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Community Healthcare Trust

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Community Healthcare Trust is:

3.9% = US$16m ÷ US$410m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.04 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Community Healthcare Trust's Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

It is quite clear that Community Healthcare Trust's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 5.4%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Community Healthcare Trust grew its net income at a significant rate of 49% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Community Healthcare Trust's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 12% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:CHCT Past Earnings Growth December 17th 2020

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Community Healthcare Trust fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Community Healthcare Trust Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Community Healthcare Trust has very a high three-year median payout ratio of 107% suggesting that the company's shareholders are getting paid from more than just the company's earnings. In spite of this, the company was able to grow its earnings significantly, as we saw above. Having said that, the high payout ratio is definitely risky and something to keep an eye on. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Community Healthcare Trust visit our risks dashboard for free.

Additionally, Community Healthcare Trust has paid dividends over a period of five years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 70% over the next three years.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Community Healthcare Trust's performance. While the company has posted impressive earnings growth, its poor ROE and low earnings retention makes us doubtful if that growth could continue, if by any chance the business is faced with any sort of risk. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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