Will CareTrust REIT Inc (NASDAQ:CTRE) Continue To Underperform Its Industry?

This analysis is intended to introduce important early concepts to people who are starting to invest and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today’s market.

With an ROE of 6.5%, CareTrust REIT Inc (NASDAQ:CTRE) returned in-line to its own industry which delivered 6.6% over the past year. But what is more interesting is whether CTRE can sustain or improve on this level of return. I will take you through how metrics such as financial leverage impact ROE which may affect the overall sustainability of CTRE’s returns.

Check out our latest analysis for CareTrust REIT

Breaking down Return on Equity

Firstly, Return on Equity, or ROE, is simply the percentage of last years’ earning against the book value of shareholders’ equity. An ROE of 6.5% implies $0.065 returned on every $1 invested, so the higher the return, the better. Investors seeking to maximise their return in the Healthcare REITs industry may want to choose the highest returning stock. However, this can be deceiving as each company has varying costs of equity and debt levels, which could exaggeratedly push up ROE at the same time as accumulating high interest expense.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

ROE is assessed against cost of equity, which is measured using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) – but let’s not dive into the details of that today. For now, let’s just look at the cost of equity number for CareTrust REIT, which is 8.6%. Since CareTrust REIT’s return does not cover its cost, with a difference of -2.1%, this means its current use of equity is not efficient and not sustainable. Very simply, CareTrust REIT pays more for its capital than what it generates in return. ROE can be split up into three useful ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

NasdaqGS:CTRE Last Perf August 29th 18
NasdaqGS:CTRE Last Perf August 29th 18

Essentially, profit margin shows how much money the company makes after paying for all its expenses. The other component, asset turnover, illustrates how much revenue CareTrust REIT can make from its asset base. The most interesting ratio, and reflective of sustainability of its ROE, is financial leverage. ROE can be inflated by disproportionately high levels of debt. This is also unsustainable due to the high interest cost that the company will also incur. Thus, we should look at CareTrust REIT’s debt-to-equity ratio to examine sustainability of its returns. Currently the ratio stands at 85.2%, which is reasonable. This means CareTrust REIT has not taken on too much leverage, and its current ROE is driven by its ability to grow its profit without a huge debt burden.

NasdaqGS:CTRE Historical Debt August 29th 18
NasdaqGS:CTRE Historical Debt August 29th 18

Next Steps:

ROE is a simple yet informative ratio, illustrating the various components that each measure the quality of the overall stock. CareTrust REIT exhibits a weak ROE against its peers, as well as insufficient levels to cover its own cost of equity this year. However, ROE is not likely to be inflated by excessive debt funding, giving shareholders more conviction in the sustainability of returns, which has headroom to increase further. ROE is a helpful signal, but it is definitely not sufficient on its own to make an investment decision.

For CareTrust REIT, I’ve put together three essential factors you should further examine:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Valuation: What is CareTrust REIT worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CareTrust REIT is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of CareTrust REIT? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.