Stock Analysis

Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) Advances Orforglipron GLP-1 Therapy To Phase 3 With Positive Results

NYSE:LLY
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Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) recently announced positive Phase 3 trial results for orforglipron, the first oral small molecule GLP-1 receptor agonist showing superior A1C reduction in type 2 diabetes patients, which aligns with a 7% share price increase over the last month. This, along with new offerings for Zepbound and strategic collaborations, potentially supported the company's stock performance. While the broader market showed a flat trajectory, the company's developments likely added weight to its upward trend. The ongoing lawsuit and acquisition rumors were less likely to significantly influence its share performance this month.

We've identified 2 warning signs with Eli Lilly (at least 1 which is significant) and understanding the impact should be part of your investment process.

NYSE:LLY Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jun 2025
NYSE:LLY Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Jun 2025

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The recent advancements announced by Eli Lilly, particularly the positive Phase 3 trial results for orforglipron, could have significant implications for the company's growth narrative. These developments, alongside the expansion of its product offerings in oncology and immunology, bolster the potential for revenue acceleration. As the company progresses with new drug approvals and scales manufacturing capabilities, it strengthens its stance in crucial therapeutic areas. The strategic expansion is tied to analyst forecasts that anticipate higher revenue and profit margins, reinforcing Lilly's commitment to capturing larger market share and enhancing future earnings potential.

Over the past five years, Eli Lilly's total shareholder return, including share price and dividends, skyrocketed by nearly 396.74%. This considerable increase underscores the company's capacity for growth, contrasting with its underperformance compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry over the last year, where the industry saw an 11.2% decline. Analysts expect Eli Lilly's annual earnings growth to significantly outpace the broader market, aligning with the company's ongoing investments and strategic initiatives.

These promising developments are expected to impact revenue and earnings forecasts positively. Anticipated growth in revenue by 20.2% annually over the next three years could support the company's trajectory toward higher earnings, which analysts project to reach US$31.7 billion by 2028. The current share price, US$775.12, shows a discount to the consensus analyst price target of US$981.63, indicating potential room for appreciation if the company meets expectations. However, investors should perform their own assessments to ensure alignment with these forecasts.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:LLY

Eli Lilly

Eli Lilly and Company discovers, develops, and markets human pharmaceuticals in the United States, Europe, China, Japan, and internationally.

High growth potential with proven track record.

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