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AbbVie NYSE:ABBV Stock Report

Last Price


Market Cap







15 Aug, 2022


Company Financials +
ABBV fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health3/6

ABBV Stock Overview

AbbVie Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceuticals in the worldwide.

AbbVie Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for AbbVie
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$142.29
52 Week HighUS$175.91
52 Week LowUS$105.56
1 Month Change-7.38%
3 Month Change-8.07%
1 Year Change20.17%
3 Year Change113.78%
5 Year Change101.26%
Change since IPO306.54%

Recent News & Updates

Aug 15

AbbVie: Still A Solid Buy After Modeling Sales To 2030

AbbVie's Q2'22 earnings threw up some positives and negatives for investors to contemplate. The Immunology division looks strong, even factoring in the patent cliff faced by $20 billion-selling Humira. Neurology also looks strong although aesthetics, eye care and oncology have something to prove. AbbVie has said it expects to generate high-single-digit CAGR growth from 2025 to the end of the decade after revenues fall in 2023 due to Humira LOE. My detailed modeling suggests there is 15-20% upside to look forward to in the short term and that ABBV stock remains a solid long-term buy opportunity for investors. Investment Thesis In my last note on AbbVie (ABBV) for Seeking Alpha - in early July - I reviewed the Big Pharma's Q1'22 earnings and looked ahead to the release of Q2'22 figures. I also considered the long-term outlook for a company that is still only 10 years old and is about to feel the impact of a loss of patent protection for its mega-blockbuster auto-immune drug Humira, which made $20.7bn of sales for the company in FY21, representing 37% of total revenues generated. AbbVie has fought off patent challenges against Humira for years longer than expected, and despite losing exclusivity in Europe in 2020, a series of price hikes and market dominance in the US in indications such as Rheumatoid Arthritis ("RA"), Psoriatic Arthritis ("PsA"), Crohn's Disease ("CD"), and Ulcerative Colitis ("UC") - have enabled the drug's sales revenues to keep growing. It is generally accepted however that 2023 will see the entrants into the US market of several generic versions of Humira - which works by inhibiting Tumor Necrosis Factor ("TNF"), an inflammation causing protein - from the likes of Viatris (VTRS), Organon (OGN), Pfizer (PFE), Amgen (AMGN), and several more companies involved in the development and sale of generic or biosimilar drugs. AbbVie has been working hard to ensure the 2 drugs it has developed to replace Humira - Skyrizi, which inhibits the pro-inflammatory cytokine IL23, and Rinvoq, a Janus Kinase (enzymes involved in immune cell function) inhibitor - are winning approvals and growing sales in Humira's markets. Management believes these 2 drugs could one day generate $15bn in peak sales, going a long way to solving the Humira loss of exclusivity ("LOE") problem. Management has previously stated that it expects total revenues to decline in 2023 following the Humira LOE, followed by a return to growth in 2024, and a "high single digit CAGR" maintained through the remainder of the decade. In other words, management believes the LOE of Humira - despite it being the world's best-selling drug - will not hinder growth at the company. Outside of Humira, management does not have to worry about LOEs for any of its other portfolio products before the end of the decade, which is encouraging, however, based on my own projections of how AbbVie will generate its revenues between 2023 and 2030, if management wants to drive a CAGR in the high single digits after 2025, it will need some help from its pipeline - not an area of particular strength for AbbVie. AbbVie product revenue forecasts to 2030. (my tables and forecasting) I have been maintaining a revenue forecasting table for AbbVie's products which I have amended based on Q2'22 and H1'22 results, and the slightly downgraded guidance issued for 2022 - management now expects adjusted earnings per share ("EPS") of $13.78 - $13.98, representing growth of 17% at the midpoint. That figure suggests a forward Price to Earnings ("P/E") ratio of ~10x, which is well below the US Big Pharma sector average of ~23x, although it should be noted that the GAAP/non-adjusted EPS may be only significantly lower than the adjusted figure, based on adjusted EPS of $6.52 across H1'22, and GAAP EPS of $3.03 over the same period. That is a significant difference because at a forward P/E of 10x AbbVie stock looks like a solid buy opportunity, but at a P/E of 20x, when we consider the risk/challenge of Humira's LOE, prospective investors may prefer to maintain a watching brief as opposed to opening a position. Between September 2021 and April 2022, AbbVie stock went on a sensational bull run, gaining 62% and hitting an all-time peak of $174. Since then, however, the stock price has fallen 18% to its current price of $142.6. That reflects uncertainty about what the future holds for AbbVie. In this post, I will discuss Q2'22 results, as well as the long-term outlook for AbbVie based on the latest information, goals, risks, and financial modeling analysis, to try to establish a target price for AbbVie stock. In my opinion, based on the current portfolio, AbbVie shares look undervalued below $160, but the upside above that price is limited, unless management is able to commercialize more products between now and the end of the decade, in order to achieve what looks like a very ambitious goal in driving high-single-digit revenue growth in the second half of this decade. AbbVie Q2'22 Earnings In A Nutshell AbbVie product revenues by quarter and year since FY20. (AbbVie data) The above table shows quarterly and annual product revenues going back to FY20, whilst the last 4 columns show revenue growth percentage between FY20 and FY21, then revenue growth between Q2'21 and Q2'22, the sequential (quarter on quarter) growth, followed by product sales as a percentage of revenues. As we can see, sales of Humira are still climbing, with losses in Europe - where revenues fell by 14% to $699m - offset by growth in the US, to $4.7bn, up 10% year-on-year. That led to an overall 6% year-on-year gain of 6%, and a 13% sequential gain. As I have mentioned in previous notes, however, the gains owe more to price hikes than sales volumes, and come 2023 and the LOE, even AbbVie admits the blow to revenues will be substantial. In my modeling table above, I estimate Humira sales will decline by 25% between 2022 and 2023, to ~$16bn, although some of that lost revenue will be gobbled up by Skyrizi/Rinvoq. Both of these assets appear to be doing the job they were intended for - protecting AbbVie's dominance in various auto-immune markets - and now represent ~13% of AbbVie's total revenue generation. At their peak, according to a slide from AbbVie's presentation at the JPMorgan (JPM), these 2 drugs are expected to generate more revenues than Humira at its peak. Slide from JPM Conference 2022 presentation. (JPM Healthcare conference presentation) Skyrizi's performance has been particularly eye-catching. According to AbbVie CEO Rick Gonzalez, speaking on the Q2'22 earnings call, "Skyrizi's total prescription share of the U.S. biological market (in psoriasis) has increased to approximately 26%", and" Psoriatic arthritis is also adding significantly to Skyrizi's momentum, where we are now approved in 54 countries. In the U.S. dermatology segment, where approximately 30% of patients exhibit both skin and joint involvement, Skyrizi is already achieving an in-play patient share of nearly 20%. We have also launched Skyrizi for PSA in rheumatology, where we're seeing strong utilization, which is driving accelerated share growth. Skyrizi has also been approved to treat Crohn's Disease, an added bonus and another multi-billion dollar market. Rinvoq's progress has been a little more circumspect, but almost as impressive. The drug is now approved in severe Rheumatoid Arthritis, active Psoriatic Arthritis, moderate to severe Atopic Dermatitis, Ulcerative Colitis, active Ankylosing Spondylitis, with Crohn's Disease the next approval on the list. In the past I have written about the high level of competition between major Pharma in the auto-immune space - for example, for Psoriatic Arthritis the list of approved drugs includes Humira, UCB Pharma's Cimzia, Amgen's Enbrel, Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) Stelara, Eli Lilly's (LLY) Talzt, Novartis' (NVS) Cosentyx and Bristol-Myers Squibb's (BMY) Orencia. All generate blockbuster <$1bn per annum sales - in Stelara's case >$9bn per annum, and in Enbrel's case, >$4.5bn. I had felt this could be an issue for Skyrizi and Rinvoq, given it is rare for a drug to be as dominant as Humira was, but although the level of competition is fierce, both drugs are more than meeting expectations, and with the entire auto-immune market worth as much as $45 - $50bn, it does seem possible that Skyrizi and Rinvoq could one day generate >$20bn revenues between them, as management hopes. The other major plus is probably the performance of the neuroscience divisions, where as we can see, Botox (indicated for migraine treatment), atypical antipsychotic Vraylar, migraine therapy Ubrelvy and newly launched Qulipta, an oral CGRP inhibitor indicated for chronic migraine all delivered good sales growth. The division delivered >$1.65bn in sales in Q2'22, up >15% year-on-year, and with Vraylar, Ubrelvy and possibly Qulipta all earmarked for blockbuster sales - $4bn in the case of Vraylar - my forecasting suggests this division could double in size by 2030, from ~$6.6bn revenues generated in FY22, to >$13.5bn by 2030. On the negative side of things, we can see that AbbVie is no longer breaking out sales within its Women's Health division, with revenues lumped into the "all other section, presumably. There is no mention of Women's Health in the Q2'22 earnings call or in the 10-Q submission to the SEC, or any of the drugs within it, yet the divisions have not (to the best of my knowledge) been sold, despite rumors it was put up for sale at ~$5bn. Furthermore, it seems sales of Lupron and Synthroid have joined the "All Other" section, which has generated $2.2bn of revenues in the first half of 2022, versus $1.5bn in the first half of 2021. Within the oncology division sales of Imbruvica fell 17% year-on-year. Management puts this down to "delayed market recovery for new patients starting therapy in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia ("CLL") and increasing competition" and has downgraded its FY22 guidance as a result. Although management reminded analysts that "Imbruvica continues to be the total market share leader across all lines of therapy in CLL", the outlook does not look especially promising. As such I have downgraded my own growth expectations in the forecasting table above, reducing annual growth from 7.5%, to just 2.5%, after forecasting for $5bn revenues in FY22 - down 7.5% year-on-year. Venclexta continues to pick up momentum with sales up 16% to >$500m in Q2'22, and I forecast the drug to exceed $3.2bn in revenues by the end of the decade. Within eye care, Restasis was a major disappointment, and the entire division seems to be struggling, with total revenues falling from ~$920m in Q2'21, to ~$720m in Q2'22. As such, I have decreased my own expectations for 2022 based on simply doubling H1'22 revenues to get a FY22 figure, and downgrading growth expectations to 3% per annum until 2026. Aesthetics was propped up by growing sales of Botox - up 12% year-on-year to $678m, but let down by sales of Juvederm, which management put down to lockdown regulations in China, and the "suspension" of operations in Russia. Sales are expected to recover in H2'22, however, and forecast year-on-year growth. I have downgraded my forecasts to 2016 accordingly however to 2% annual growth. In summary, the total revenue increase of just 4% year-on-year in Q2'22 might disappoint a few investors, as might the downgraded guidance, although it is hard to argue that AbbVie is a bad investment when we consider that the Pharma also pays a dividend of $1.41 per quarter, yielding 4% per annum, drove operating earnings of $3.925bn on a GAAP basis, and trades at a >10% discount to my calculated target price. Calculating A Target Price For AbbVie Shares How do I arrive at my share price target? First of all, as shown in the table above I forecast product sales out to 2030. With no LOEs on the horizon, it is relatively plain sailing for the company ex-Humira, and the performance of Skyrizi and Rinvoq - to date at least - suggests management does have this massive patent cliff covered. Neuroscience looks highly promising too, and aesthetics capable of driving some respectable growth driven by old stager Botox. I suspect Eye Care is a division AbbVie can turn around given time, and I feel that with regards to oncology, where AbbVie has the strongest pipeline assets - lymphoma bispecific Epcoritamab may be approved to treat large B-cell lymphoma, and peak sales estimates range from $1.5 - $3bn, although AbbVie will not earn all of that since the product is co-developed with Genmab. Trial results demonstrated an overall response rate of 63% and a median duration of response of 12 months, where 39% of patients had already tried a CAR-T cell therapy. I haven't included Epcoritamab sales in my forecasts this time, but I hope to adjust the table before Q3'22 results are announced. I take the total revenue figure from each year and plug it into an income statement forecast as follows: AbbVie income statement forecast. (my table and forecasts)

Aug 03

AbbVie gets FDA approval for JUVÉDERM to improve jawline definition

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved AbbVie's (NYSE:ABBV) JUVÉDERM Volux XC for improving jawline definition in adults over the age of 21 with moderate to severe loss of jawline definition. "JUVÉDERM VOLUX XC complements our existing product line to provide even more structure, cohesivity and lift capacity to create an improved jawline that appears more defined in real life and on camera," said Carrie Strom, president, Global Allergan Aesthetics and senior vice president, AbbVie.

Shareholder Returns

ABBVUS BiotechsUS Market

Return vs Industry: ABBV exceeded the US Biotechs industry which returned -21.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ABBV exceeded the US Market which returned -10.2% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ABBV's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ABBV volatility
ABBV Average Weekly Movement3.1%
Biotechs Industry Average Movement12.6%
Market Average Movement7.7%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.9%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: ABBV is less volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 3% a week.

Volatility Over Time: ABBV's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

201250,000Rick Gonzalez

AbbVie Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceuticals in the worldwide. The company offers HUMIRA, a therapy administered as an injection for autoimmune and intestinal Behçet's diseases; SKYRIZI to treat moderate to severe plaque psoriasis in adults; RINVOQ, a JAK inhibitor for the treatment of moderate to severe active rheumatoid arthritis in adult patients; IMBRUVICA to treat adult patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL), small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL), and VENCLEXTA, a BCL-2 inhibitor used to treat adults with CLL or SLL; and MAVYRET to treat patients with chronic HCV genotype 1-6 infection. It also provides CREON, a pancreatic enzyme therapy for exocrine pancreatic insufficiency; Synthroid used in the treatment of hypothyroidism; Linzess/Constella to treat irritable bowel syndrome with constipation and chronic idiopathic constipation; Lupron for the palliative treatment of advanced prostate cancer, endometriosis and central precocious puberty, and patients with anemia caused by uterine fibroids; and Botox therapeutic.

AbbVie Fundamentals Summary

How do AbbVie's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ABBV fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$251.58b
Earnings (TTM)US$12.57b
Revenue (TTM)US$57.35b


P/E Ratio


P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
ABBV income statement (TTM)
Cost of RevenueUS$16.79b
Gross ProfitUS$40.56b
Other ExpensesUS$27.99b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2022

Next Earnings Date


Earnings per share (EPS)7.11
Gross Margin70.72%
Net Profit Margin21.92%
Debt/Equity Ratio498.3%

How did ABBV perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison



Current Dividend Yield


Payout Ratio
We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.


Is ABBV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score


Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABBV?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ABBV key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.6x
PEG Ratio59.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABBV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

ABBV PE Ratio vs Peers
The above table shows the PE ratio for ABBV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.3x
AMGN Amgen
VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals
GILD Gilead Sciences
REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABBV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the peer average (19.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABBV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABBV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (15.9x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABBV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABBV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20x
Fair PE Ratio25.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABBV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x).

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABBV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABBV ($142.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($353.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABBV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Future Growth

How is AbbVie forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 18 analysts?

Future Growth Score


Future Growth Score 1/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ABBV's forecast earnings growth (0.3% per year) is below the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: ABBV's earnings (0.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ABBV's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ABBV's revenue (0.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (7.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ABBV's revenue (0.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ABBV's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (90.1%).

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Past Performance

How has AbbVie performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score


Past Performance Score 5/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: ABBV has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: ABBV's current net profit margins (21.9%) are higher than last year (12.3%).

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: ABBV's earnings have grown by 12.6% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: ABBV's earnings growth over the past year (90.6%) exceeds its 5-year average (12.6% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: ABBV earnings growth over the past year (90.6%) exceeded the Biotechs industry 24.5%.

Return on Equity

High ROE: Whilst ABBV's Return on Equity (86.1%) is outstanding, this metric is skewed due to their high level of debt.

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Financial Health

How is AbbVie's financial position?

Financial Health Score


Financial Health Score 3/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: ABBV's short term assets ($29.1B) do not cover its short term liabilities ($34.5B).

Long Term Liabilities: ABBV's short term assets ($29.1B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($94.0B).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: ABBV's net debt to equity ratio (430.5%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: ABBV's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 624.1% to 498.3% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: ABBV's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (31.3%).

Interest Coverage: ABBV's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (8.5x coverage).

Balance Sheet

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What is AbbVie current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score


Dividend Score 6/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Cash Flow Coverage


Current Dividend Yield

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: ABBV's dividend (3.96%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.47%).

High Dividend: ABBV's dividend (3.96%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (3.95%)

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: ABBV's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: ABBV's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: At its current payout ratio (77.9%), ABBV's payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonably low cash payout ratio (44.9%), ABBV's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.

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How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?


Average management tenure


Rick Gonzalez (68 yo)





Mr. Richard A. Gonzalez, also known as Rick, serves as the Chairman of AbbVie Inc. and has been its Chief Executive Officer at AbbVie Inc. since 2013. Mr. Gonzalez served as an Executive Vice President of...

CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Rick's total compensation ($USD23.91M) is above average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD12.88M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Rick's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: ABBV's management team is considered experienced (2.2 years average tenure).

Board Members

Experienced Board: ABBV's board of directors are considered experienced (9.6 years average tenure).


Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.

Top Shareholders

Company Information

AbbVie Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources

Key Information

  • Name: AbbVie Inc.
  • Ticker: ABBV
  • Exchange: NYSE
  • Founded: 2012
  • Industry: Biotechnology
  • Sector: Pharmaceuticals & Biotech
  • Implied Market Cap: US$251.582b
  • Shares outstanding: 1.77b
  • Website:

Number of Employees


  • AbbVie Inc.
  • 1 North Waukegan Road
  • North Chicago
  • Illinois
  • 60064-6400
  • United States


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/08/15 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/08/15 00:00
Annual Earnings2021/12/31

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.