Stock Analysis

A Look at Xeris Biopharma (XERS) Valuation After Patent Progress on Novel Hypothyroidism Therapy

Xeris Biopharma Holdings (XERS) announced a Notice of Allowance for its XP-8121 patent application. This development could enhance its intellectual property position for a novel hypothyroidism therapy and support future commercialization plans.

See our latest analysis for Xeris Biopharma Holdings.

Even with a one-day share price dip of 3.06% and a tougher month, Xeris Biopharma’s long-term momentum is notable. Its year-to-date share price return is 101.16%, and the total shareholder return over three years has reached 357.89%. Recent patent progress could boost sentiment further, highlighting both growth potential and evolving risk perceptions for the stock.

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With shares trading at a significant discount to analyst targets, even after strong multi-year returns, investors must ask whether Xeris Biopharma is truly undervalued or if recent gains have already priced in future growth.

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Most Popular Narrative: 39.5% Undervalued

The most followed narrative sees Xeris Biopharma trading well below its calculated fair value, signaling potential upside from the current $6.96 share price. Let’s spotlight one of the biggest drivers that shapes this optimistic perspective.

The impending launch of XP-8121, which utilizes proprietary delivery technology to address a significant unmet need in hypothyroidism, opens the door to a high-value market segment underserved by innovation and may drive new revenue streams and long-term margin expansion.

Read the complete narrative.

What’s the secret sauce behind this target? The narrative hinges on bold projections for revenue growth and a profit margin inflection, along with a future earnings multiple that is higher than the average pharmaceutical company. Curious how those forecasts translate into a dramatically higher fair value? Find out what numbers are turning heads.

Result: Fair Value of $11.50 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, heavy dependence on just a few key products and rising competition in core markets could quickly alter Xeris Biopharma’s positive outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this Xeris Biopharma Holdings narrative.

Build Your Own Xeris Biopharma Holdings Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can craft a personalized perspective in just a few minutes with our Do it your way

A great starting point for your Xeris Biopharma Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:XERS

Xeris Biopharma Holdings

A commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing and commercializing therapies for chronic endocrine and neurological diseases in Illinois.

Good value with reasonable growth potential.

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