There's No Escaping Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SRPT) Muted Revenues Despite A 35% Share Price Rise
Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:SRPT) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 83% share price drop in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Sarepta Therapeutics may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.6x and even P/S higher than 103x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
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What Does Sarepta Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times haven't been great for Sarepta Therapeutics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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Sarepta Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 47% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 176% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 16% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 126% each year, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Sarepta Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Sarepta Therapeutics' P/S
Even after such a strong price move, Sarepta Therapeutics' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's clear to see that Sarepta Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Sarepta Therapeutics that we have uncovered.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.