Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRVI) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

By
Simply Wall St
Published
December 01, 2021
NasdaqGS:MRVI
Source: Shutterstock

Maravai LifeSciences Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRVI) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Maravai LifeSciences Holdings could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Maravai LifeSciences Holdings

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NasdaqGS:MRVI Price Based on Past Earnings December 2nd 2021
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Maravai LifeSciences Holdings.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Maravai LifeSciences Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 34% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 12% each year, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Maravai LifeSciences Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Maravai LifeSciences Holdings' P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Maravai LifeSciences Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings are highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Maravai LifeSciences Holdings that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

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