Stock Analysis

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) Valuation After Class Action Lawsuits and Sonelokimab Trial Setbacks

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) is back in focus after multiple law firms launched securities class actions, alleging the company overstated sonelokimab’s benefits and downplayed weaker Phase 3 results, unsettling already pressured shareholders.

See our latest analysis for MoonLake Immunotherapeutics.

That backdrop helps explain why, despite a sharp 1 month share price return of 41.6 percent and a 12.3 percent jump in the last session to around 14.99 dollars, the 1 year total shareholder return is still down about 72 percent. At the same time, the 3 year total shareholder return remains solidly positive, suggesting recent legal and trial setbacks have dented momentum rather than erased the longer term story.

If you are reassessing risk after MoonLake’s volatility, it could be a smart moment to explore other healthcare stocks that might offer a different balance of growth potential and downside risk.

With shares still deeply underwater over 12 months and now trading just above the latest analyst targets, investors face a key question: Is MoonLake quietly undervalued after the selloff, or is the market correctly discounting future growth?

Advertisement

Price to Book of 3.7x: Is it justified?

Based on MoonLake Immunotherapeutics recent price to book ratio of 3.7 times and last close of 14.99 dollars, the stock screens as expensive versus peers.

The price to book ratio compares a company market value to its net assets, a common yardstick for early stage or unprofitable biotechs where earnings are not yet meaningful. For MoonLake, this lens matters because the business currently generates no revenue and remains loss making, so investors are effectively paying for its pipeline, intellectual property and balance sheet strength rather than cash flows.

However, statements flag that MoonLake trades at 3.7 times book value compared both to a 2.1 times peer average and a 2.7 times US biotech industry average, suggesting the market is assigning a premium despite persistent losses and forecasts that it will stay unprofitable over the next three years. With no DCF fair value available and insufficient data for a price to book fair ratio, there is no offsetting signal that this premium is aligned with a statistically derived fair level; the valuation looks stretched on this metric alone.

Compared with the wider US Biotechs industry, MoonLake price to book multiple stands out as materially richer. This indicates that investors are paying significantly more per dollar of net assets than they would for a typical biotech name, even though the company has no revenue and is expected to remain in the red.

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Result: Price to book of 3.7x (OVERVALUED)

However, significant clinical trial uncertainty and the overhang from class action lawsuits could quickly challenge any optimistic recovery narrative around MoonLake’s valuation.

Find out about the key risks to this MoonLake Immunotherapeutics narrative.

Build Your Own MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a complete view in just a few minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your MoonLake Immunotherapeutics research is our analysis highlighting 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

Before you move on, consider your next move by using the Simply Wall St Screener to uncover focused opportunities you might otherwise overlook.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NasdaqCM:MLTX

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics

A clinical stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing therapies for inflammatory skin and joint diseases.

Excellent balance sheet with low risk.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
50 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$122.0% undervalued
7 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$247.5% overvalued
9 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

IN
PSD logo
IncomeAssets on Pulse Seismic ·

Watch Pulse Seismic Outperform with 13.6% Revenue Growth in the Coming Years

Fair Value:CA$4.4729.5% undervalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
VL
GGO logo
Vladislav on Galleon Gold ·

Significantly undervalued gold explorer in Timmins, finally getting traction

Fair Value:CA$482.8% undervalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
FU
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6410.8% overvalued
5 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
116 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3926.8% undervalued
956 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GOOGL logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Alphabet ·

GOOGL: AI Platform Expansion And Cloud Demand Will Support Durable Performance Amid Competitive Pressures

Fair Value:US$323.71.9% undervalued
1342 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
17 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion