Did The Underlying Business Drive Exelixis’s Lovely 491% Share Price Gain?

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Investing can be hard but the potential fo an individual stock to pay off big time inspires us. But when you hold the right stock for the right time period, the rewards can be truly huge. One bright shining star stock has been Exelixis, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXEL), which is 491% higher than three years ago. It’s also good to see the share price up 14% over the last quarter. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently – you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

See our latest analysis for Exelixis

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed, is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Exelixis became profitable within the last three years. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

NasdaqGS:EXEL Past and Future Earnings, February 25th 2019
NasdaqGS:EXEL Past and Future Earnings, February 25th 2019

It is of course excellent to see how Exelixis has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Exelixis’s financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 3.1% in the last year, Exelixis shareholders lost 27%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn’t be so upset, since they would have made 25%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. If you would like to research Exelixis in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.