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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving CASI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CASI) 27% Price Drop
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CASI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASI) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 72% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, CASI Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.8x and even P/S above 106x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for CASI Pharmaceuticals
How Has CASI Pharmaceuticals Performed Recently?
CASI Pharmaceuticals could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CASI Pharmaceuticals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
CASI Pharmaceuticals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 22% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 27% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 100% per year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 125% per year.
With this information, we are not surprised that CASI Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On CASI Pharmaceuticals' P/S
Having almost fallen off a cliff, CASI Pharmaceuticals' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that CASI Pharmaceuticals' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, CASI Pharmaceuticals' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware CASI Pharmaceuticals is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:CASI
CASI Pharmaceuticals
A biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes therapeutics and pharmaceutical products in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, and internationally.
Moderate risk and slightly overvalued.
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