Did Changing Sentiment Drive Applied Genetic Technologies’s (NASDAQ:AGTC) Share Price Down A Painful 88%?

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Long term investing works well, but it doesn’t always work for each individual stock. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. For example, we sympathize with anyone who was caught holding Applied Genetic Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:AGTC) during the five years that saw its share price drop a whopping 88%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 15% in the last 90 days.

While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn’t as important as health and happiness.

See our latest analysis for Applied Genetic Technologies

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Applied Genetic Technologies became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

Revenue is actually up 31% over the time period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

Depicted in the graphic below, you’ll see revenue and earnings over time. If you want more detail, you can click on the chart itself.

NasdaqGM:AGTC Income Statement, June 12th 2019
NasdaqGM:AGTC Income Statement, June 12th 2019

We know that Applied Genetic Technologies has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Applied Genetic Technologies stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

Applied Genetic Technologies shareholders are down 18% for the year, but the market itself is up 3.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 35% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. If you would like to research Applied Genetic Technologies in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

Of course Applied Genetic Technologies may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.