Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for OTCPK:PAOS using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Model
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for
is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method.
We try to start with analysts estimates of free cash flow, however if these are not available we use the most recent financial results. In the 1st stage we continue to grow the free cash flow over a 10 year period, with the growth rate trending towards the perpetual growth rate used in the 2nd stage. The 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
OTCPK:PAOS DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 year cash flow forecast
Amount off the current price
is available for.
Share price is
vs Future cash flow value of
Current Discount Checks
to be considered undervalued it must be available for at least 20% below the
current price. Less than 40% is even better.
Amerinac Holding's share price is below the future cash flow value, and at a moderate discount (> 20%).
Amerinac Holding's share price is below the future cash flow value, but not at a substantial discount (< 40%).
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for
it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing
when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.
The amount the stock market is willing to pay for
is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Amerinac Holding's earnings available for a low price, and how does
this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Amerinac Holding's earnings are expected to grow by 3.1% yearly, however this is not considered high growth (20% yearly).
Unable to determine if Amerinac Holding is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can
be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at
predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates
looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Amerinac Holding's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the
Metals and Mining
industry? (1 check)
Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the
past 5 years? (1 check)
Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent
earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
has a total score of
3/6, see the detailed checks below.
Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.
A company's financial position is much like your own financial position,
it includes everything you own
The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up
Amerinac Holding's finances.
The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Amerinac Holding is able to meet its short term (1 year) commitments with its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
Amerinac Holding's cash and other short term assets cover its long term commitments.
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of
Amerinac Holding's finances. If any of them are yellow this
indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
High level of physical assets or inventory.
Debt is covered by short term assets, assets are 2.1x debt.
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t
however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest
on its debts this may have impacts in the future.
The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to
see the red area (debt) decreasing.
If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and
whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at
unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have
been around for and insider trading.
TENURE AS CEO
Mr. John F. Wachter has been the Chairman of the Board at Amerinac Holding Corp. (also known as Precision Aerospace Components, Inc.) since January 16, 2015 and has been its Chief Executive Officer since November 10, 2017. Mr. Wachter served as Chief Financial Officer at Precision Aerospace Components, Inc. until November 10, 2017. Mr. Wachter served as Interim Chief Executive Officer of Precision Aerospace Components, Inc. from January 16, 2015 to April 1, 2016 and has been with it since 2015. He has been the Chairman at Epolin Inc. since June 15, 2012. He serves as a Director at Precision Group Holdings LLC.
John's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.
John's remuneration is lower than average for companies of similar size in United States of America.
Chairman & CEO
CFO, General Counsel
President & COO
Board of Directors
Chairman & CEO
CFO, General Counsel
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
More shares have been bought than sold by Amerinac Holding insiders in the past 3 months.
Amerinac Holding Corp., through its subsidiaries, manufactures ingots, electrode products, shot products, and master alloys in the United States. It also offers toll conversion melting services; and distributes nut and bolt products, and a proprietary locking washer product that are used primarily for industrial/commercial applications. In addition, it engages in the distribution of fasteners primarily for the heavy truck, automotive, transportation, and infrastructure industries. Further, the company manufactures specialty stainless steel and related products for steel mills, steel forging operations, and various metal fabrication facilities. Amerinac Holding Corp. offers its specialty ingots and electrode products for investment castings, forging, ring rolling, and plate production applications; and shot products and master alloys to other melt shops. The company was formerly known as Precision Aerospace Components, Inc. and changed its name to Amerinac Holding Corp. in June 2017. Amerinac Holding Corp. was founded in 1938 and is based in Chillicothe, Ohio.
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