- United States
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- Metals and Mining
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- NYSEAM:UAMY
United States Antimony (UAMY): Assessing Valuation After Dramatic Share Price Swings
Reviewed by Simply Wall St
See our latest analysis for United States Antimony.
After a period of spectacular momentum earlier this year, United States Antimony’s share price has lately lost steam with a 51% decline over the past month. Even so, the stock still boasts a year-to-date share price return of nearly 240%, and long-term investors have seen total shareholder returns soar more than 700% over the past year and over 1,600% in three years. This highlights how quickly sentiment and risk appetite can shift.
If rapid swings like these make you wonder what’s next, this could be the perfect moment to broaden your search and explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
With such extreme gains and recent volatility, the big question now is whether United States Antimony’s current price reflects its future prospects. Could this pullback be a rare buying opportunity, or is the market already factoring in all the expected growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 39.2% Undervalued
The prevailing narrative sets United States Antimony’s fair value much higher than its last close of $5.88, suggesting the market is missing a major driver behind the company’s price.
The company is in late-stage discussions with U.S. government agencies (including DoD and DLA) regarding critical mineral offtake and funding. Any resulting contracts or incentives would provide long-term, recurring, premium-priced revenue and earnings, leveraging the strategic value of being the only domestic antimony processor as U.S. policy shifts toward supply chain security and China de-risking.
Curious what powers this bullish perspective? The most popular narrative is built on substantial profit margin expansion, explosive multi-year revenue growth, and a bold earnings forecast. Want the full story and the number that can turn the tables? Dive in before the market catches up.
Result: Fair Value of $9.67 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, ongoing permitting delays and increased regulatory scrutiny could threaten United States Antimony’s expansion strategy. These challenges have the potential to undermine revenue growth and investor confidence.
Find out about the key risks to this United States Antimony narrative.
Another View: Price-to-Sales Sends a Warning
Taking a look through the lens of price-to-sales, United States Antimony trades at a lofty 25.8 times sales. That is well above the US Metals and Mining industry average of 2.3x, its peer average of 6.1x, and a fair ratio of just 3.4x. This premium could leave investors exposed if future growth falls short. How comfortable are you paying such a high markup?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own United States Antimony Narrative
If you see things differently or want to dive deeper into the details yourself, you can shape your own view in just a few minutes. So why not Do it your way?
A great starting point for your United States Antimony research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSEAM:UAMY
United States Antimony
Produces and sells antimony, zeolite, and precious metals in the United States and Canada.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.
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