Is Louisiana-Pacific Corporation's (NYSE:LPX) Stock's Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 20, 2021
NYSE:LPX
Source: Shutterstock

Louisiana-Pacific (NYSE:LPX) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 41% over the last three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Louisiana-Pacific's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Louisiana-Pacific

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Louisiana-Pacific is:

40% = US$497m ÷ US$1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.40 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Louisiana-Pacific's Earnings Growth And 40% ROE

To begin with, Louisiana-Pacific has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE is quite impressive. Probably as a result of this, Louisiana-Pacific was able to see a decent net income growth of 13% over the last five years.

As a next step, we compared Louisiana-Pacific's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 7.0%.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:LPX Past Earnings Growth March 21st 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Louisiana-Pacific fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Louisiana-Pacific Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Louisiana-Pacific's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 20% (implying that it retains 80% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Additionally, Louisiana-Pacific has paid dividends over a period of three years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 20%. Still, forecasts suggest that Louisiana-Pacific's future ROE will drop to 17% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Louisiana-Pacific's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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