Stock Analysis

Can Surgery Partners' (SGRY) Updated Guidance Change the Conversation on Profitability?

  • On November 10, 2025, Surgery Partners reported third-quarter results with sales of US$821.5 million and a reduced net loss of US$22.7 million, and issued updated full-year revenue guidance of US$3.28–3.30 billion.
  • Notably, the company recorded year-over-year revenue growth while also narrowing its quarterly net loss compared to the same period last year.
  • We'll explore how the updated full-year guidance signals management's confidence in operational performance and influences Surgery Partners' investment outlook.

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Surgery Partners Investment Narrative Recap

Owning shares in Surgery Partners often hinges on believing in the sustained migration of high-acuity surgical procedures to outpatient settings, combined with managed execution on operational initiatives. The recent update to full-year sales guidance and a narrower loss signal ongoing improvement, but the impact is not material enough to overshadow the key near-term catalyst: maintaining above-market organic growth in surgical volumes. However, rising interest expenses from debt service remain the biggest risk, continuing to put pressure on earnings.

The most relevant recent development is the revised 2025 revenue guidance, now set at US$3.28–3.30 billion. While this shows management's conviction about their current trajectory, it also reinforces how guidance realism can anchor expectations around ongoing revenue growth, keeping attention on execution rather than speculative upside from portfolio shifts.

Yet, as improving sales momentum contrasts with the company's exposure to higher interest expenses, investors should be aware that...

Read the full narrative on Surgery Partners (it's free!)

Surgery Partners' outlook anticipates $4.3 billion in revenue and $164.3 million in earnings by 2028. This requires annual revenue growth of 9.9% and an earnings increase of $344.7 million from the current level of -$180.4 million.

Uncover how Surgery Partners' forecasts yield a $31.00 fair value, a 93% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

SGRY Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Nov 2025
SGRY Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community contributors submitted two fair value estimates for Surgery Partners, ranging from US$31 to US$80.92 per share. While some focus on the earnings growth potential, many remain alert to execution and debt service as crucial variables shaping the company's future performance.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Surgery Partners - why the stock might be worth just $31.00!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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