Keurig Dr Pepper (NYSE:KDP) Is Growing Earnings But Are They A Good Guide?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
August 03, 2020
NasdaqGS:KDP

As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Keurig Dr Pepper (NYSE:KDP).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Keurig Dr Pepper made a profit of US$1.16b on revenue of US$11.3b. One positive is that it has grown both its profit and its revenue, over the last few years.

Check out our latest analysis for Keurig Dr Pepper

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:KDP Earnings and Revenue History August 3rd 2020

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. This article will discuss how unusual items have impacted Keurig Dr Pepper's most recent profit results. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

To properly understand Keurig Dr Pepper's profit results, we need to consider the US$435.0m expense attributed to unusual items. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Keurig Dr Pepper doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Keurig Dr Pepper's Profit Performance

Unusual items (expenses) detracted from Keurig Dr Pepper's earnings over the last year, but we might see an improvement next year. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Keurig Dr Pepper's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share increased by 20% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Keurig Dr Pepper you should be mindful of and 1 of these is potentially serious.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Keurig Dr Pepper's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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