ALCO Stock Overview
Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management company in the United States.
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||US$40.67|
|52 Week High||US$43.65|
|52 Week Low||US$30.65|
|1 Month Change||-5.42%|
|3 Month Change||25.14%|
|1 Year Change||25.33%|
|3 Year Change||57.76%|
|5 Year Change||37.17%|
|Change since IPO||39.04%|
Recent News & Updates
Alico: Turning Sour In Its Decelerating Outlook
Alico boasts a 4.80% dividend yield but raises dividend safety issues with its negative free cash flow. Concerns about its demand environment and profitability outlook make this stock risky at today’s market sentiment. This stock trades at a logical resistance, is fundamentally overvalued and primed for a meaningful pullback.
Alico Stock: 5.3% Dividend Yield From Orange Juice Leader
Alico has benefited from strong consumer demand for oranges and climbing market pricing. The company is taking advantage of high real estate prices by opportunistically selling its large land holdings in Florida to raise liquidity. We like the stock as an alternative investment which includes a well-supported 5.3% dividend yield.
|ALCO||US Food||US Market|
Return vs Industry: ALCO exceeded the US Food industry which returned -4.7% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ALCO exceeded the US Market which returned -12.7% over the past year.
|ALCO Average Weekly Movement||5.4%|
|Food Industry Average Movement||6.5%|
|Market Average Movement||7.9%|
|10% most volatile stocks in US Market||16.9%|
|10% least volatile stocks in US Market||3.0%|
Stable Share Price: ALCO is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.
Volatility Over Time: ALCO's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Alico Citrus, and Land Management and Other Operations. The Alico Citrus segment cultivates citrus trees to produce citrus for delivery to the processed and fresh citrus markets.
Alico Fundamentals Summary
|ALCO fundamental statistics|
Is ALCO overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|ALCO income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||US$89.79m|
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2022
Next Earnings Date
|Earnings per share (EPS)||7.53|
|Net Profit Margin||54.86%|
How did ALCO perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
4.9%Current Dividend Yield
Is Alico undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PE vs Industry
PE vs Market
PB vs Industry
Undervalued compared to fair value
Share Price vs. Fair Value
Below Fair Value: ALCO ($40.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($58.96)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ALCO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Price To Earnings Ratio
PE vs Industry: ALCO is good value based on its PE Ratio (5.4x) compared to the US Food industry average (18.4x).
PE vs Market: ALCO is good value based on its PE Ratio (5.4x) compared to the US market (15.5x).
Price to Earnings Growth Ratio
PEG Ratio: ALCO's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.
Price to Book Ratio
PB vs Industry: ALCO is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.2x) compared to the US Food industry average (1.9x).
How is Alico forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?
Future Growth Score1/6
Future Growth Score 1/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-99.9% per year).
Earnings vs Market: ALCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-99.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ALCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ALCO's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ALCO's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if ALCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
How has Alico performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score5/6
Past Performance Score 5/6
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings vs Industry
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: ALCO has a high level of non-cash earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: ALCO's current net profit margins (54.9%) are higher than last year (27.8%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: ALCO's earnings have grown significantly by 46.7% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: ALCO's earnings growth over the past year (103.4%) exceeds its 5-year average (46.7% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: ALCO earnings growth over the past year (103.4%) exceeded the Food industry 13%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: ALCO's Return on Equity (20.9%) is considered high.
How is Alico's financial position?
Financial Health Score3/6
Financial Health Score 3/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: ALCO's short term assets ($70.6M) exceed its short term liabilities ($24.5M).
Long Term Liabilities: ALCO's short term assets ($70.6M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($156.8M).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: ALCO's net debt to equity ratio (36.7%) is considered satisfactory.
Reducing Debt: ALCO's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 110.8% to 45.4% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: ALCO's operating cash flow is negative, therefore debt is not well covered.
Interest Coverage: ALCO's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (1.3x coverage).
What is Alico current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score 4/6
Future Dividend Coverage
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: ALCO's dividend (4.92%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.57%).
High Dividend: ALCO's dividend (4.92%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.09%)
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: ALCO's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: ALCO's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (26.4%), ALCO's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: ALCO is paying a dividend but the company has no free cash flows.
Discover strong dividend paying companies
How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
John Kiernan (53 yo)
Mr. John E. Kiernan is an Independent Director of Codorus Valley Bancorp, Inc. since April 12, 2022. He serves as President and Chief Executive Officer of Alico, Inc., since July 01, 2019 and serves as its...
CEO Compensation Analysis
Compensation vs Market: John's total compensation ($USD796.13K) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD2.60M).
Compensation vs Earnings: John's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.
Experienced Management: ALCO's management team is considered experienced (3.7 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: ALCO's board of directors are considered experienced (8.5 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Recent Insider Transactions
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
Alico, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: Alico, Inc.
- Ticker: ALCO
- Exchange: NasdaqGS
- Founded: 1960
- Industry: Agricultural Products
- Sector: Food, Beverage & Tobacco
- Implied Market Cap: US$307.660m
- Shares outstanding: 7.56m
- Website: https://www.alicoinc.com
Number of Employees
- Alico, Inc.
- 10070 Daniels Interstate Court
- Suite 200
- Fort Myers
- United States
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2022/05/21 00:00|
|End of Day Share Price||2022/05/20 00:00|