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ALCO

Alico NasdaqGS:ALCO Stock Report

Last Price

US$40.67

Market Cap

US$307.7m

7D

-0.9%

1Y

25.3%

Updated

21 May, 2022

Data

Company Financials +
ALCO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance5/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends4/6

ALCO Stock Overview

Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management company in the United States.

Alico Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Alico
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$40.67
52 Week HighUS$43.65
52 Week LowUS$30.65
Beta0.53
1 Month Change1.04%
3 Month Change25.14%
1 Year Change25.33%
3 Year Change57.76%
5 Year Change37.17%
Change since IPO39.04%

Recent News & Updates

May 19

Alico: Turning Sour In Its Decelerating Outlook

Alico boasts a 4.80% dividend yield but raises dividend safety issues with its negative free cash flow. Concerns about its demand environment and profitability outlook make this stock risky at today’s market sentiment. This stock trades at a logical resistance, is fundamentally overvalued and primed for a meaningful pullback.

Apr 02

Alico Stock: 5.3% Dividend Yield From Orange Juice Leader

Alico has benefited from strong consumer demand for oranges and climbing market pricing. The company is taking advantage of high real estate prices by opportunistically selling its large land holdings in Florida to raise liquidity. We like the stock as an alternative investment which includes a well-supported 5.3% dividend yield.

Shareholder Returns

ALCOUS FoodUS Market
7D-0.9%-7.1%-2.7%
1Y25.3%-5.2%-12.9%

Return vs Industry: ALCO exceeded the US Food industry which returned -5.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: ALCO exceeded the US Market which returned -12.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is ALCO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ALCO volatility
ALCO Average Weekly Movement5.4%
Food Industry Average Movement6.6%
Market Average Movement7.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: ALCO is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.

Volatility Over Time: ALCO's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1960222John Kiernanhttps://www.alicoinc.com

Alico, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an agribusiness and land management company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Alico Citrus, and Land Management and Other Operations. The Alico Citrus segment cultivates citrus trees to produce citrus for delivery to the processed and fresh citrus markets.

Alico Fundamentals Summary

How do Alico's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ALCO fundamental statistics
Market CapUS$307.66m
Earnings (TTM)US$56.98m
Revenue (TTM)US$103.87m

5.4x

P/E Ratio

3.0x

P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
ALCO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$103.87m
Cost of RevenueUS$89.79m
Gross ProfitUS$14.08m
Other Expenses-US$42.90m
EarningsUS$56.98m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)7.53
Gross Margin13.56%
Net Profit Margin54.86%
Debt/Equity Ratio45.4%

How did ALCO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

4.9%

Current Dividend Yield

26%

Payout Ratio

Valuation

Is Alico undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • PE vs Industry

  • PE vs Market

  • PEG Ratio

  • PB vs Industry


31.0%

Undervalued compared to fair value

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: ALCO ($40.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($58.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALCO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: ALCO is good value based on its PE Ratio (5.4x) compared to the US Food industry average (18.5x).

PE vs Market: ALCO is good value based on its PE Ratio (5.4x) compared to the US market (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: ALCO's earnings are forecast to decline next year, so we can't calculate its PEG ratio.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: ALCO is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.2x) compared to the US Food industry average (1.9x).


Future Growth

How is Alico forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 1 analyst?

Future Growth Score

1/6

Future Growth Score 1/6

  • Earnings vs Savings Rate

  • Earnings vs Market

  • High Growth Earnings

  • Revenue vs Market

  • High Growth Revenue

  • Future ROE


-99.9%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-99.9% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ALCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-99.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ALCO's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ALCO's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALCO's revenue (8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if ALCO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


Past Performance

How has Alico performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

5/6

Past Performance Score 5/6

  • Quality Earnings

  • Growing Profit Margin

  • Earnings Trend

  • Accelerating Growth

  • Earnings vs Industry

  • High ROE


46.7%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: ALCO has a high level of non-cash earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: ALCO's current net profit margins (54.9%) are higher than last year (27.8%).


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: ALCO's earnings have grown significantly by 46.7% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: ALCO's earnings growth over the past year (103.4%) exceeds its 5-year average (46.7% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: ALCO earnings growth over the past year (103.4%) exceeded the Food industry 13%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: ALCO's Return on Equity (20.9%) is considered high.


Financial Health

How is Alico's financial position?

Financial Health Score

3/6

Financial Health Score 3/6

  • Short Term Liabilities

  • Long Term Liabilities

  • Debt Level

  • Reducing Debt

  • Debt Coverage

  • Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: ALCO's short term assets ($70.6M) exceed its short term liabilities ($24.5M).

Long Term Liabilities: ALCO's short term assets ($70.6M) do not cover its long term liabilities ($156.8M).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: ALCO's net debt to equity ratio (36.7%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: ALCO's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 110.8% to 45.4% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: ALCO's operating cash flow is negative, therefore debt is not well covered.

Interest Coverage: ALCO's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (1.3x coverage).


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is Alico current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

4/6

Dividend Score 4/6

  • Notable Dividend

  • High Dividend

  • Stable Dividend

  • Growing Dividend

  • Earnings Coverage

  • Future Dividend Coverage


4.92%

Current Dividend Yield

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: ALCO's dividend (4.92%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.58%).

High Dividend: ALCO's dividend (4.92%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.11%)


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: ALCO's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: ALCO's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (26.4%), ALCO's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: ALCO is paying a dividend but the company has no free cash flows.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

3.7yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

John Kiernan (53 yo)

2.83yrs

Tenure

US$796,127

Compensation

Mr. John E. Kiernan is an Independent Director of Codorus Valley Bancorp, Inc. since April 12, 2022. He serves as President and Chief Executive Officer of Alico, Inc., since July 01, 2019 and serves as its...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: John's total compensation ($USD796.13K) is below average for companies of similar size in the US market ($USD2.59M).

Compensation vs Earnings: John's compensation has increased by more than 20% in the past year.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: ALCO's management team is considered experienced (3.7 years average tenure).


Board Members

Experienced Board: ALCO's board of directors are considered experienced (8.5 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

Alico, Inc.'s employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: Alico, Inc.
  • Ticker: ALCO
  • Exchange: NasdaqGS
  • Founded: 1960
  • Industry: Agricultural Products
  • Sector: Food, Beverage & Tobacco
  • Implied Market Cap: US$307.660m
  • Shares outstanding: 7.56m
  • Website: https://www.alicoinc.com

Number of Employees


Location

  • Alico, Inc.
  • 10070 Daniels Interstate Court
  • Suite 200
  • Fort Myers
  • Florida
  • 33913
  • United States

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2022/05/21 00:00
End of Day Share Price2022/05/20 00:00
Earnings2022/03/31
Annual Earnings2021/09/30


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.